Pronostics football & tennis — Top 31 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 31 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 29/06/2026 21:10. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 31)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 01:00 | 2.37 | 3.06 | 3.32 | 40% | 18% | 42% | 90% | 87% | Morocco (+16.8%) |
| VPS vs Inter Turku | Suomen Cup | 30/06/2026 15:00 | 3.47 | 3.18 | 2.04 | 35% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 36% | VPS (+25.3%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 17:00 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.09 | 62% | 16% | 21% | 87% | 81% | Côte d'Ivoire (+25.0%) |
| Ivory Coast vs Norway | FIFA World Cup | 30/06/2026 17:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| France vs Sweden | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 21:00 | 1.27 | 6.04 | 10.48 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Sweden (+340.7%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs CRB | Serie B | 30/06/2026 23:00 | 2.25 | 2.85 | 3.50 | 21% | 27% | 51% | 38% | 41% | CRB (+26.6%) |
| Mexico vs Ecuador | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 01:00 | 2.22 | 2.91 | 3.86 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 47% | 47% | Ecuador (+42.4%) |
| England vs DR Congo | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.28 | 5.36 | 12.03 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 47% | 47% | DR Congo (+415.0%) |
| HJK vs Ilves | Suomen Cup | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.67 | 4.01 | 4.12 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 78% | 70% | Ilves (+54.4%) |
| Belgium vs Senegal | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 20:00 | 2.20 | 3.24 | 3.44 | 79% | 11% | 10% | 95% | 83% | Senegal (+22.4%) |
| USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 00:00 | 1.38 | 4.77 | 8.42 | 89% | 6% | 5% | 98% | 82% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+250.6%) |
| United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup | 02/07/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | 58% | 17% | 25% | 91% | 86% | — |
| Spain vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 19:00 | 1.31 | 5.24 | 10.37 | 60% | 16% | 24% | 96% | 91% | Austria (+338.8%) |
| Portugal vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.78 | 3.52 | 4.79 | 89% | 8% | 3% | 69% | 35% | Croatia (+85.2%) |
| Cuiabá vs América Mineiro | Serie B | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.84 | 3.18 | 4.54 | 59% | 32% | 9% | 17% | 16% | América Mineiro (+75.2%) |
| Derry City vs Waterford | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 50% | 23% | 26% | 57% | 58% | Waterford (+163.6%) |
| Drogheda United vs Bohemians | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.69 | 48% | 20% | 32% | 80% | 77% | Drogheda United (+77.2%) |
| Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 64% | 63% | Sligo Rovers (+106.6%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Galway United FC | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.40 | 4.70 | 6.50 | 31% | 35% | 35% | 23% | 32% | Galway United FC (+163.2%) |
| Shelbourne vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 19:00 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 40% | 27% | 34% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+36.4%) |
| Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 03/07/2026 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 23:00 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 3% | 7% | 90% | 79% | 45% | Sporting JAX (+67.7%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 3.03 | 3.29 | 2.25 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 78% | 76% | Nul (+16.5%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.69 | 3.33 | 2.49 | 29% | 21% | 50% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+18.4%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.93 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.3%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 1.51 | 4.38 | 5.49 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+116.7%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:30 | 3.61 | 3.59 | 1.91 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+30.8%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.45 | 3.63 | 2.55 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+32.7%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 3.23 | 3.40 | 2.12 | 27% | 24% | 49% | 56% | 58% | Nul (+21.3%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.55 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+36.2%) |
| Germany vs Paraguay | World Cup 2026 | 29/06/2026 20:30 | 1.34 | 5.03 | 9.28 | 94% | 4% | 2% | 93% | 58% | Paraguay (+289.4%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).