Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 03/07/2026 22:49. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs Cabo Verde | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 00:00 | 1.14 | 8.17 | 20.77 | 88% | 10% | 2% | 56% | 21% | Cabo Verde (+800.9%) |
| Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 04/07/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 01:30 | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 3% | 7% | 90% | 79% | 45% | Sporting JAX (+71.9%) |
| Independiente del Valle vs Manta F.C. | LigaPro | 04/07/2026 02:00 | 1.19 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 78% | 18% | 5% | 38% | 21% | Manta F.C. (+413.9%) |
| Colombia vs Ghana | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 03:30 | 1.43 | 4.28 | 8.18 | 55% | 34% | 11% | 16% | 18% | Ghana (+241.4%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior FC | NPL Queensland | 04/07/2026 08:15 | 2.60 | 3.72 | 2.21 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Nul (+38.3%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 04/07/2026 11:00 | 2.97 | 3.96 | 1.94 | 69% | 22% | 9% | 36% | 29% | Nul (+49.2%) |
| Queensland Lions FC vs Olympic FC | NPL Queensland | 04/07/2026 11:30 | 1.41 | 4.78 | 5.30 | 72% | 16% | 11% | 65% | 54% | Olympic FC (+108.4%) |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gangwon FC | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 2.26 | 3.02 | 3.30 | 35% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 28% | Gangwon FC (+16.9%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Bucheon FC 1995 | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 1.75 | 3.45 | 4.67 | 43% | 37% | 20% | 17% | 24% | Bucheon FC 1995 (+80.6%) |
| FC Anyang vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 2.89 | 2.97 | 2.54 | 39% | 36% | 25% | 19% | 27% | Nul (+1.5%) |
| Liaoning Tieren FC vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.07 | 3.26 | 3.47 | 28% | 26% | 45% | 46% | 51% | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (+24.7%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.99 | 3.46 | 2.23 | 36% | 25% | 39% | 56% | 59% | Nul (+24.2%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:35 | 1.73 | 4.05 | 3.95 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Nul (+50.8%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Wuhan Three Towns | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:35 | 1.70 | 3.76 | 4.52 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 73% | 71% | Wuhan Three Towns (+72.9%) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 14:00 | 2.21 | 3.41 | 3.00 | 46% | 24% | 30% | 57% | 59% | Nul (+22.2%) |
| FC Lahti vs IF Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 14:00 | 2.34 | 3.28 | 2.92 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 72% | 62% | Nul (+15.9%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 15:00 | 3.18 | 3.33 | 2.20 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 78% | 76% | Nul (+17.9%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 15:00 | 2.77 | 3.34 | 2.46 | 29% | 21% | 50% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+18.5%) |
| FF Jaro vs Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 16:00 | 3.28 | 3.64 | 2.02 | 18% | 16% | 65% | 84% | 76% | Nul (+32.5%) |
| VPS vs IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 17:00 | 1.30 | 5.20 | 9.01 | 92% | 6% | 3% | 88% | 55% | IFK Mariehamn (+277.6%) |
| Canada vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 19:00 | 4.97 | 3.44 | 1.78 | 44% | 25% | 31% | 53% | 57% | Canada (+93.7%) |
| Criciúma vs Sport Recife | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 1.97 | 3.16 | 3.96 | 43% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 33% | Sport Recife (+47.8%) |
| Grêmio Novorizontino vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 1.90 | 3.33 | 3.96 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 50% | 50% | Atlético Goianiense (+47.6%) |
| Londrina vs CRB | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 14% | 18% | 68% | 66% | 58% | Nul (+2.8%) |
| Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 22:00 | 2.70 | 3.49 | 2.27 | 35% | 24% | 41% | 60% | 62% | Nul (+26.9%) |
| Paraguay vs France | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 23:00 | 14.93 | 6.56 | 1.20 | 2% | 8% | 90% | 67% | 29% | Paraguay (+542.8%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 00:00 | 1.58 | 3.88 | 4.89 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 34% | 32% | Lexington SC (+90.9%) |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 1.53 | 3.94 | 5.33 | 71% | 18% | 11% | 54% | 44% | Brooklyn FC (+111.4%) |
| Goiás vs Ceará | Serie B | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 2.14 | 2.99 | 3.61 | 45% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 39% | Ceará (+31.6%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:30 | 1.57 | 3.87 | 4.91 | 39% | 24% | 37% | 57% | 60% | Orange County SC (+92.0%) |
| Louisville City FC vs Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.57 | 3.97 | 4.82 | 41% | 30% | 29% | 33% | 40% | Hartford Athletic (+87.4%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Deportivo Cuenca | LigaPro | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.56 | 3.60 | 5.50 | 6% | 23% | 71% | 28% | 18% | Deportivo Cuenca (+120.7%) |
| FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:30 | 2.48 | 3.18 | 2.63 | 41% | 31% | 28% | 30% | 37% | Nul (+12.2%) |
| San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.82 | 3.58 | 3.77 | 60% | 23% | 17% | 48% | 47% | Monterey Bay FC (+38.9%) |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Phoenix Rising FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.72 | 3.74 | 4.08 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 71% | 70% | Phoenix Rising FC (+53.1%) |
| New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:30 | 2.52 | 3.32 | 2.50 | 40% | 28% | 32% | 43% | 49% | Nul (+18.9%) |
| Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 04:30 | 2.66 | 3.42 | 2.33 | 45% | 20% | 36% | 82% | 80% | Nul (+23.6%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:00 | 1.94 | 3.78 | 3.10 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 51% | 53% | Nul (+40.4%) |
| Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar Youth | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:45 | 1.56 | 4.49 | 4.19 | 32% | 25% | 43% | 52% | 55% | Nul (+71.8%) |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 2.38 | 3.26 | 2.86 | 36% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 34% | Nul (+15.1%) |
| FC Seoul vs Incheon United | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 1.90 | 3.37 | 3.96 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 44% | 44% | Incheon United (+47.4%) |
| Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 6.56 | 4.11 | 1.47 | 5% | 12% | 84% | 63% | 38% | Gwangju FC (+167.6%) |
| Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:00 | 5.14 | 4.07 | 1.57 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 72% | 63% | Qingdao Hainiu (+101.3%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:35 | 1.68 | 4.17 | 4.09 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 76% | 69% | Nul (+56.2%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 2.24 | 3.50 | 2.94 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.2%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 1.51 | 4.40 | 5.55 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+119.3%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 16:30 | 3.62 | 3.61 | 1.91 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+31.2%) |
| Brazil vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 05/07/2026 22:00 | 1.86 | 3.65 | 4.11 | 83% | 10% | 7% | 83% | 62% | Norway (+53.1%) |
| Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC | USL Championship | 06/07/2026 01:00 | 2.52 | 3.39 | 2.46 | 31% | 26% | 43% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+22.3%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).