Pronostics football & tennis — Top 41 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 41 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 07/07/2026 14:12. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 41)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FK vs The New Saints | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.24 | 5.73 | 10.75 | 33% | 29% | 39% | 39% | 46% | The New Saints (+356.1%) |
| FC Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.71 | 3.22 | 2.50 | 42% | 29% | 29% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+13.4%) |
| Lincoln Red Imps vs Inter Club d'Escaldes | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.16 | 3.47 | 3.03 | 33% | 29% | 38% | 38% | 45% | Nul (+25.0%) |
| FK Kauno Žalgiris vs FC Drita | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.89 | 3.36 | 3.97 | 50% | 22% | 29% | 68% | 67% | FC Drita (+48.0%) |
| Argentina vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.35 | 4.80 | 9.81 | 82% | 14% | 5% | 53% | 31% | Egypt (+314.8%) |
| FK Vardar Skopje vs Kuopion Palloseura | Champions League | 07/07/2026 19:00 | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.69 | 36% | 23% | 41% | 67% | 67% | Nul (+17.7%) |
| Floriana FC vs Shamrock Rovers | Champions League | 07/07/2026 19:30 | 3.02 | 3.21 | 2.27 | 88% | 9% | 4% | 74% | 42% | Nul (+12.9%) |
| SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC | Champions League | 07/07/2026 20:30 | 7.06 | 4.58 | 1.39 | 38% | 32% | 30% | 30% | 37% | SP Tre Fiori (+189.6%) |
| FK Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia | Champions League | 07/07/2026 20:30 | 3.19 | 3.07 | 2.26 | 11% | 16% | 73% | 63% | 51% | FK Borac Banja Luka (+11.9%) |
| Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag vs Atert Bissen | Champions League | 07/07/2026 20:45 | 1.46 | 4.17 | 6.40 | 40% | 29% | 30% | 36% | 43% | Atert Bissen (+160.2%) |
| Víkingur Reykjavík vs ETO FC Győr | Champions League | 07/07/2026 21:00 | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.68 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 26% | 28% | Nul (+24.4%) |
| Switzerland vs Colombia | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 22:00 | 3.49 | 3.10 | 2.26 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 52% | 53% | Switzerland (+24.8%) |
| Athletic Club vs Operário-PR | Serie B | 08/07/2026 01:00 | 2.43 | 2.91 | 3.10 | 43% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 33% | Operário-PR (+7.6%) |
| Kairat Almaty vs FK Sutjeska Nikšić | Champions League | 08/07/2026 17:00 | 1.31 | 4.87 | 9.16 | 5% | 12% | 83% | 61% | 36% | FK Sutjeska Nikšić (+286.2%) |
| Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999 | Champions League | 08/07/2026 18:00 | 2.81 | 3.45 | 2.29 | 30% | 22% | 47% | 66% | 66% | Nul (+24.3%) |
| FC Petrocub Hîncesti vs KF Egnatia | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 2.03 | 3.28 | 3.52 | 66% | 18% | 17% | 72% | 65% | KF Egnatia (+27.1%) |
| ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 3.48 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 40% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 38% | ML Vitebsk (+25.1%) |
| Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 1.72 | 3.64 | 4.14 | 26% | 35% | 40% | 22% | 30% | Orange County SC (+56.3%) |
| Ponte Preta vs Criciúma | Serie B | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 5.66 | 3.55 | 1.61 | 4% | 17% | 79% | 40% | 22% | Ponte Preta (+127.2%) |
| Sacramento Republic FC vs Rhode Island FC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 04:30 | 2.26 | 3.02 | 3.06 | 34% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 49% | Rhode Island FC (+6.5%) |
| Qarabağ FK vs IF Vestri | Europa League | 09/07/2026 18:00 | 1.06 | 11.18 | 29.24 | 13% | 13% | 74% | 89% | 77% | IF Vestri (+1173.2%) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij Kidričevo | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.37 | 4.35 | 8.09 | 66% | 18% | 16% | 69% | 62% | NK Aluminij Kidričevo (+238.7%) |
| Dynamo Kyiv vs FC Universitatea Cluj | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.01 | 13% | 25% | 63% | 35% | 33% | FC Universitatea Cluj (+95.8%) |
| HNK Hajduk Split vs MŠK Žilina | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.45 | 4.28 | 6.33 | 41% | 22% | 37% | 68% | 68% | MŠK Žilina (+156.6%) |
| FK Vojvodina vs Ferencváros TC | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 2.83 | 3.39 | 2.30 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 52% | 51% | Nul (+21.5%) |
| CSKA Sofia vs Derry City | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.30 | 5.02 | 9.10 | 34% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 43% | Derry City (+282.8%) |
| France vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 09/07/2026 22:00 | 1.60 | 3.86 | 5.96 | 57% | 23% | 20% | 53% | 52% | Morocco (+139.0%) |
| Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun | Chinese Super League | 10/07/2026 13:35 | 1.59 | 4.34 | 4.47 | 47% | 19% | 34% | 83% | 80% | Yunnan Yukun (+69.8%) |
| VPS vs SJK | Veikkausliiga | 10/07/2026 18:00 | 2.06 | 3.53 | 3.21 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 81% | 78% | Nul (+27.6%) |
| Dundalk vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 20:45 | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Drogheda United (+76.1%) |
| Juventude vs Vila Nova FC | Serie B | 11/07/2026 00:00 | 1.83 | 3.12 | 4.68 | 73% | 20% | 8% | 41% | 30% | Vila Nova FC (+82.1%) |
| Sport Recife vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 11/07/2026 01:00 | 1.77 | 3.41 | 4.49 | 33% | 34% | 33% | 24% | 33% | Botafogo-SP (+72.5%) |
| Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 51% | 55% | Nul (+17.3%) |
| Aalesund vs Molde | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 68% | 65% | Nul (+35.9%) |
| Tromso vs Vålerenga | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.30 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 47% | 47% | Vålerenga (+63.0%) |
| Galway United FC vs Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.60 | 61% | 23% | 17% | 49% | 47% | Sligo Rovers (+76.4%) |
| KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 14:30 | 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.46 | 8% | 12% | 80% | 73% | 55% | KFUM Oslo (+128.1%) |
| Sandefjord vs Hamarkameratene | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 17:00 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 15% | 24% | 61% | 42% | 41% | Nul (+30.4%) |
| CRB vs Goiás | Serie B | 13/07/2026 00:00 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.75 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 53% | 53% | Goiás (+37.7%) |
| Djurgården vs Halmstads BK | Allsvenskan | 13/07/2026 19:00 | 1.24 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 88% | 7% | 4% | 88% | 61% | Halmstads BK (+298.1%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 07/07/2026 11:30 | 3.22 | 4.33 | 1.78 | 16% | 17% | 66% | 75% | 67% | Nul (+66.3%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).