Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 04/07/2026 20:26. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma vs Sport Recife | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 1.97 | 3.15 | 3.98 | 43% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 33% | Sport Recife (+48.7%) |
| Grêmio Novorizontino vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 1.92 | 3.28 | 3.93 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 50% | 50% | Atlético Goianiense (+46.3%) |
| Londrina vs CRB | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 14% | 18% | 68% | 66% | 58% | Nul (+9.3%) |
| Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 22:00 | 2.64 | 3.47 | 2.31 | 35% | 24% | 41% | 60% | 62% | Nul (+26.1%) |
| Paraguay vs France | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 23:00 | 15.85 | 6.92 | 1.19 | 2% | 8% | 90% | 67% | 29% | Paraguay (+582.8%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 00:00 | 1.57 | 3.88 | 4.88 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 34% | 32% | Lexington SC (+90.6%) |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 1.66 | 3.56 | 4.70 | 71% | 18% | 11% | 54% | 44% | Brooklyn FC (+82.7%) |
| Goiás vs Ceará | Serie B | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 2.16 | 2.97 | 3.61 | 45% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 39% | Ceará (+31.5%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:30 | 1.59 | 3.83 | 4.84 | 39% | 24% | 37% | 57% | 60% | Orange County SC (+88.7%) |
| Louisville City FC vs Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.57 | 3.97 | 4.81 | 41% | 30% | 29% | 33% | 40% | Hartford Athletic (+87.0%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Deportivo Cuenca | LigaPro | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.56 | 3.65 | 5.50 | 6% | 23% | 71% | 28% | 18% | Deportivo Cuenca (+120.3%) |
| FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:30 | 2.47 | 3.17 | 2.62 | 41% | 31% | 28% | 30% | 37% | Nul (+11.9%) |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Phoenix Rising FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.71 | 3.74 | 4.05 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 71% | 70% | Phoenix Rising FC (+51.9%) |
| San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.85 | 3.51 | 3.69 | 60% | 23% | 17% | 48% | 47% | Monterey Bay FC (+35.3%) |
| New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:30 | 2.51 | 3.33 | 2.48 | 40% | 28% | 32% | 43% | 49% | Nul (+19.5%) |
| Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 04:30 | 2.40 | 3.43 | 2.57 | 45% | 20% | 36% | 82% | 80% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:00 | 1.75 | 3.96 | 3.55 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 51% | 53% | Nul (+48.3%) |
| Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar Youth | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:45 | 1.59 | 4.39 | 4.04 | 32% | 25% | 43% | 52% | 55% | Nul (+67.5%) |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 36% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 34% | Nul (+14.6%) |
| FC Seoul vs Incheon United | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 1.92 | 3.34 | 3.90 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 44% | 44% | Incheon United (+44.7%) |
| Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 6.60 | 4.15 | 1.46 | 5% | 12% | 84% | 63% | 38% | Gwangju FC (+169.4%) |
| Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:00 | 5.13 | 4.08 | 1.56 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 72% | 63% | Qingdao Hainiu (+101.0%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:35 | 1.67 | 4.18 | 4.12 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 76% | 69% | Nul (+56.6%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.2%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 1.50 | 4.43 | 5.64 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+123.4%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 16:30 | 3.63 | 3.60 | 1.92 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+31.6%) |
| Hassania d'Agadir vs Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 1.72 | 3.12 | 4.95 | 26% | 37% | 37% | 18% | 26% | Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (+96.0%) |
| Macará vs Liga de Quito | LigaPro | 05/07/2026 20:00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 24% | 37% | 39% | 18% | 26% | Macará (+3.7%) |
| Brazil vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 05/07/2026 22:00 | 1.84 | 3.67 | 4.25 | 83% | 10% | 7% | 83% | 62% | Norway (+59.5%) |
| Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC | USL Championship | 06/07/2026 01:00 | 2.52 | 3.39 | 2.46 | 31% | 26% | 43% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+22.3%) |
| Náutico vs Juventude | Serie B | 06/07/2026 01:30 | 2.11 | 3.08 | 3.56 | 20% | 27% | 53% | 37% | 40% | Juventude (+29.2%) |
| Mexico vs England | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 02:00 | 3.09 | 3.18 | 2.43 | 26% | 26% | 48% | 45% | 49% | Nul (+10.2%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.58 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+31.2%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 3.24 | 3.39 | 2.14 | 27% | 24% | 49% | 56% | 58% | Nul (+20.7%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+31.0%) |
| Portugal vs Spain | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 21:00 | 3.95 | 3.58 | 1.92 | 34% | 30% | 37% | 36% | 43% | Portugal (+45.7%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs Avaí | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.86 | 3.19 | 4.38 | 56% | 32% | 13% | 21% | 22% | Avaí (+67.7%) |
| Vila Nova FC vs São Bernardo | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.99 | 3.18 | 3.85 | 32% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 28% | São Bernardo (+42.6%) |
| USA vs Belgium | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 02:00 | 2.72 | 3.36 | 2.57 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 72% | 72% | Nul (+19.0%) |
| United States vs Belgium | FIFA World Cup | 07/07/2026 02:00 | — | — | — | 9% | 12% | 78% | 81% | 65% | — |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 07/07/2026 11:30 | 3.53 | 4.11 | 1.74 | 16% | 17% | 66% | 75% | 67% | Nul (+55.2%) |
| FK Kauno Žalgiris vs FC Drita | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.27 | 3.23 | 2.95 | 50% | 22% | 29% | 68% | 67% | Nul (+14.1%) |
| Lincoln Red Imps vs Inter Club d'Escaldes | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.54 | 3.22 | 2.54 | 60% | 26% | 13% | 33% | 32% | Nul (+14.1%) |
| Sabah FK vs The New Saints | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.31 | 4.74 | 8.80 | 33% | 29% | 39% | 39% | 46% | The New Saints (+270.6%) |
| Argentina vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.36 | 4.74 | 9.37 | 82% | 14% | 5% | 53% | 31% | Egypt (+294.8%) |
| FC Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.65 | 3.47 | 2.32 | 42% | 29% | 29% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+25.9%) |
| FK Vardar Skopje vs Kuopion Palloseura | Champions League | 07/07/2026 19:00 | 2.27 | 3.49 | 2.77 | 36% | 23% | 41% | 67% | 67% | Nul (+26.5%) |
| FK Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia | Champions League | 07/07/2026 20:30 | 2.78 | 3.15 | 2.51 | 11% | 16% | 73% | 63% | 51% | Nul (+9.9%) |
| Athletic Club vs Operário-PR | Serie B | 08/07/2026 01:00 | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.13 | 32% | 31% | 37% | 31% | 39% | Operário-PR (+9.1%) |
| Dundalk vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 20:45 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.70 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Drogheda United (+81.1%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).