Pronostics football & tennis — Top 49 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 49 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 08/07/2026 18:38. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 49)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Petrocub Hîncesti vs KF Egnatia | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 2.21 | 3.18 | 3.16 | 66% | 18% | 17% | 72% | 65% | Nul (+11.4%) |
| ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 4.42 | 3.44 | 1.77 | 40% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 38% | ML Vitebsk (+69.2%) |
| Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 1.80 | 3.55 | 3.81 | 26% | 35% | 40% | 22% | 30% | Orange County SC (+41.0%) |
| Ponte Preta vs Criciúma | Serie B | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 5.54 | 3.51 | 1.64 | 4% | 17% | 79% | 40% | 22% | Ponte Preta (+121.5%) |
| Sacramento Republic FC vs Rhode Island FC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 04:30 | 2.25 | 3.03 | 3.04 | 34% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 49% | Rhode Island FC (+5.6%) |
| Qarabağ FK vs IF Vestri | Europa League | 09/07/2026 18:00 | 1.03 | 15.19 | 48.46 | 13% | 13% | 74% | 89% | 77% | IF Vestri (+2015.1%) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij Kidričevo | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.47 | 3.96 | 6.62 | 66% | 18% | 16% | 69% | 62% | NK Aluminij Kidričevo (+171.3%) |
| Dynamo Kyiv vs FC Universitatea Cluj | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.54 | 4.02 | 5.26 | 13% | 25% | 63% | 35% | 33% | FC Universitatea Cluj (+107.6%) |
| HNK Hajduk Split vs MŠK Žilina | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.40 | 4.51 | 6.97 | 41% | 22% | 37% | 68% | 68% | MŠK Žilina (+185.6%) |
| CSKA Sofia vs Derry City | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.28 | 5.16 | 9.92 | 34% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 43% | Derry City (+320.1%) |
| FK Vojvodina vs Ferencváros TC | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 2.79 | 3.44 | 2.31 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 52% | 51% | Nul (+23.9%) |
| France vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 09/07/2026 22:00 | 1.92 | 2.58 | 5.39 | 57% | 23% | 20% | 53% | 52% | Morocco (+117.8%) |
| Brisbane Roar Youth vs Rochedale Rovers | NPL Queensland | 10/07/2026 11:30 | 2.51 | 3.85 | 2.25 | 26% | 23% | 50% | 58% | 59% | Nul (+44.4%) |
| Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 10/07/2026 11:30 | 1.48 | 4.69 | 4.82 | 28% | 35% | 37% | 22% | 30% | Wynnum Wolves FC (+85.9%) |
| Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun | Chinese Super League | 10/07/2026 13:35 | 1.60 | 4.36 | 4.44 | 47% | 19% | 34% | 83% | 80% | Yunnan Yukun (+68.2%) |
| VPS vs SJK | Veikkausliiga | 10/07/2026 18:00 | 2.03 | 3.56 | 3.29 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 81% | 78% | Nul (+28.8%) |
| Dundalk vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 20:45 | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Drogheda United (+76.1%) |
| Spain vs Belgium | World Cup 2026 | 10/07/2026 21:00 | 1.62 | 3.93 | 5.45 | 56% | 21% | 23% | 65% | 63% | Belgium (+115.1%) |
| Waterford vs St Patrick's Athletic | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 21:00 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 51% | 25% | 24% | 48% | 50% | Waterford (+106.6%) |
| Juventude vs Vila Nova FC | Serie B | 11/07/2026 00:00 | 1.84 | 3.18 | 4.53 | 73% | 20% | 8% | 41% | 30% | Vila Nova FC (+74.7%) |
| Sport Recife vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 11/07/2026 01:00 | 1.87 | 3.26 | 4.17 | 33% | 34% | 33% | 24% | 33% | Botafogo-SP (+57.7%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 11/07/2026 10:00 | 1.13 | 7.60 | 11.50 | 62% | 20% | 19% | 65% | 61% | Magic United TFA (+386.4%) |
| Ulsan HD vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 11/07/2026 12:30 | 2.63 | 3.24 | 2.55 | 32% | 29% | 40% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+14.4%) |
| Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 11/07/2026 12:30 | 6.00 | 3.64 | 1.58 | 8% | 25% | 67% | 28% | 22% | Gwangju FC (+142.7%) |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 | K-League 1 | 11/07/2026 12:30 | 2.04 | 3.22 | 3.63 | 34% | 37% | 29% | 19% | 28% | Bucheon FC 1995 (+32.2%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan FC | Chinese Super League | 11/07/2026 13:00 | 3.02 | 3.37 | 2.20 | 38% | 24% | 38% | 60% | 62% | Nul (+20.4%) |
| Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu | Chinese Super League | 11/07/2026 13:00 | 1.54 | 4.32 | 4.99 | 41% | 21% | 37% | 73% | 72% | Qingdao Hainiu (+93.9%) |
| Shenzhen Peng City vs Qingdao West Coast | Chinese Super League | 11/07/2026 13:35 | 2.36 | 3.28 | 2.89 | 34% | 23% | 43% | 63% | 65% | Nul (+16.0%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan | Chinese Super League | 11/07/2026 13:35 | 2.40 | 3.72 | 2.51 | 48% | 20% | 32% | 79% | 77% | Nul (+37.4%) |
| Fredrikstad FK vs Lillestrøm SK | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 2.77 | 3.37 | 2.42 | 21% | 22% | 57% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+20.1%) |
| FC Lahti vs HJK | Veikkausliiga | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 3.06 | 3.59 | 2.10 | 33% | 21% | 45% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+30.7%) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | Chinese Super League | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 1.34 | 4.85 | 7.97 | 66% | 20% | 14% | 53% | 47% | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (+230.9%) |
| Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 51% | 55% | Nul (+17.3%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 11/07/2026 15:00 | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.46 | 56% | 21% | 23% | 66% | 64% | Nul (+30.5%) |
| Aalesunds FK vs Molde FK | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 3.09 | 3.69 | 2.09 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 68% | 65% | Nul (+35.0%) |
| IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 1.34 | 4.99 | 7.53 | 97% | 2% | 1% | 91% | 39% | IFK Mariehamn (+210.1%) |
| Aalesund vs Molde | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 68% | 65% | Nul (+35.9%) |
| Örgryte IS vs BK Häcken | Allsvenskan | 11/07/2026 17:30 | 5.23 | 4.38 | 1.53 | 8% | 10% | 82% | 88% | 70% | Örgryte IS (+104.6%) |
| Tromsø IL vs Vålerenga IF | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.75 | 3.67 | 4.37 | 59% | 23% | 18% | 50% | 49% | Vålerenga IF (+66.0%) |
| Tromso vs Vålerenga | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.30 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 47% | 47% | Vålerenga (+63.0%) |
| Galway United FC vs Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.60 | 61% | 23% | 17% | 49% | 47% | Sligo Rovers (+76.4%) |
| Norway vs England | World Cup 2026 | 11/07/2026 23:00 | 3.99 | 3.70 | 1.88 | 17% | 16% | 66% | 81% | 72% | Norway (+47.4%) |
| KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 14:30 | 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.46 | 8% | 12% | 80% | 73% | 55% | KFUM Oslo (+128.1%) |
| Sandefjord vs Hamarkameratene | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 17:00 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.55 | 15% | 24% | 61% | 42% | 41% | Nul (+30.6%) |
| CRB vs Goiás | Serie B | 13/07/2026 00:00 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.75 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 53% | 53% | Goiás (+37.7%) |
| Djurgården vs Halmstads BK | Allsvenskan | 13/07/2026 19:00 | 1.24 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 88% | 7% | 4% | 88% | 61% | Halmstads BK (+298.1%) |
| Kairat Almaty vs FK Sutjeska Nikšić | Champions League | 08/07/2026 17:00 | 1.20 | 6.27 | 12.70 | 5% | 12% | 83% | 61% | 36% | FK Sutjeska Nikšić (+443.5%) |
| Spain U19 vs Croatia U19 | UEFA European U19 Championship | 08/07/2026 17:30 | 1.13 | 8.08 | 15.04 | 49% | 19% | 32% | 82% | 79% | — |
| Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999 | Champions League | 08/07/2026 18:00 | 2.71 | 3.46 | 2.34 | 30% | 22% | 47% | 66% | 66% | Nul (+25.0%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).