Pronostics football & tennis — Top 31 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 31 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 07/07/2026 23:12. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 31)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club vs Operário-PR | Serie B | 08/07/2026 01:00 | 2.82 | 2.14 | 3.43 | 43% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 33% | Operário-PR (+24.6%) |
| Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC | LigaPro | 08/07/2026 02:00 | 1.38 | 4.30 | 8.00 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 26% | 30% | Guayaquil City FC (+234.8%) |
| Kairat Almaty vs FK Sutjeska Nikšić | Champions League | 08/07/2026 17:00 | 1.27 | 5.22 | 10.15 | 5% | 12% | 83% | 61% | 36% | FK Sutjeska Nikšić (+330.7%) |
| Flora Tallinn vs FC Iberia 1999 | Champions League | 08/07/2026 18:00 | 2.83 | 3.48 | 2.26 | 30% | 22% | 47% | 66% | 66% | Nul (+25.8%) |
| FC Petrocub Hîncesti vs KF Egnatia | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 2.15 | 3.17 | 3.33 | 66% | 18% | 17% | 72% | 65% | KF Egnatia (+18.3%) |
| ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 4.05 | 3.42 | 1.84 | 40% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 38% | ML Vitebsk (+51.8%) |
| Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 1.81 | 3.56 | 3.86 | 26% | 35% | 40% | 22% | 30% | Orange County SC (+43.1%) |
| Ponte Preta vs Criciúma | Serie B | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 5.69 | 3.57 | 1.61 | 4% | 17% | 79% | 40% | 22% | Ponte Preta (+128.4%) |
| Sacramento Republic FC vs Rhode Island FC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 04:30 | 2.25 | 3.03 | 3.05 | 34% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 49% | Rhode Island FC (+6.0%) |
| Qarabağ FK vs IF Vestri | Europa League | 09/07/2026 18:00 | 1.05 | 11.59 | 37.44 | 13% | 13% | 74% | 89% | 77% | IF Vestri (+1539.2%) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs NK Aluminij Kidričevo | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.31 | 4.73 | 9.34 | 66% | 18% | 16% | 69% | 62% | NK Aluminij Kidričevo (+295.4%) |
| Dynamo Kyiv vs FC Universitatea Cluj | Europa League | 09/07/2026 19:00 | 1.58 | 3.92 | 5.02 | 13% | 25% | 63% | 35% | 33% | FC Universitatea Cluj (+96.5%) |
| HNK Hajduk Split vs MŠK Žilina | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.43 | 4.28 | 6.44 | 41% | 22% | 37% | 68% | 68% | MŠK Žilina (+162.1%) |
| FK Vojvodina vs Ferencváros TC | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 2.85 | 3.37 | 2.28 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 52% | 51% | Nul (+20.7%) |
| CSKA Sofia vs Derry City | Europa League | 09/07/2026 20:00 | 1.29 | 5.10 | 9.40 | 34% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 43% | Derry City (+296.4%) |
| France vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 09/07/2026 22:00 | 1.92 | 2.58 | 5.39 | 57% | 23% | 20% | 53% | 52% | Morocco (+117.8%) |
| Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun | Chinese Super League | 10/07/2026 13:35 | 1.60 | 4.34 | 4.42 | 47% | 19% | 34% | 83% | 80% | Yunnan Yukun (+67.4%) |
| VPS vs SJK | Veikkausliiga | 10/07/2026 18:00 | 2.02 | 3.57 | 3.31 | 54% | 19% | 27% | 81% | 78% | Nul (+29.3%) |
| Dundalk vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 20:45 | 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Drogheda United (+76.1%) |
| Waterford vs St Patrick's Athletic | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 21:00 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 51% | 25% | 24% | 48% | 50% | Waterford (+106.6%) |
| Juventude vs Vila Nova FC | Serie B | 11/07/2026 00:00 | 1.84 | 3.18 | 4.53 | 73% | 20% | 8% | 41% | 30% | Vila Nova FC (+74.7%) |
| Sport Recife vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 11/07/2026 01:00 | 1.88 | 3.28 | 4.14 | 33% | 34% | 33% | 24% | 33% | Botafogo-SP (+56.1%) |
| Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 51% | 55% | Nul (+17.3%) |
| Aalesund vs Molde | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 68% | 65% | Nul (+35.9%) |
| Tromso vs Vålerenga | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.30 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 47% | 47% | Vålerenga (+63.0%) |
| Galway United FC vs Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 11/07/2026 18:00 | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.60 | 61% | 23% | 17% | 49% | 47% | Sligo Rovers (+76.4%) |
| KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 14:30 | 5.75 | 4.70 | 1.46 | 8% | 12% | 80% | 73% | 55% | KFUM Oslo (+128.1%) |
| Sandefjord vs Hamarkameratene | Eliteserien | 12/07/2026 17:00 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.55 | 15% | 24% | 61% | 42% | 41% | Nul (+30.6%) |
| CRB vs Goiás | Serie B | 13/07/2026 00:00 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.75 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 53% | 53% | Goiás (+37.7%) |
| Djurgården vs Halmstads BK | Allsvenskan | 13/07/2026 19:00 | 1.24 | 6.00 | 9.50 | 88% | 7% | 4% | 88% | 61% | Halmstads BK (+298.1%) |
| Switzerland vs Colombia | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 22:00 | 3.63 | 2.32 | 2.59 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 52% | 53% | Switzerland (+33.4%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).