Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 15/07/2026 20:16. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs Argentina | World Cup 2026 | 15/07/2026 21:00 | 2.99 | 2.26 | 3.16 | 39% | 27% | 34% | 47% | 52% | Argentina (+10.9%) |
| KF Egnatia vs FC Petrocub Hîncesti | Champions League | 15/07/2026 21:00 | 2.15 | 2.35 | 4.58 | 35% | 20% | 45% | 79% | 77% | FC Petrocub Hîncesti (+80.0%) |
| FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs Kairat Almaty | Champions League | 15/07/2026 21:00 | 4.09 | 2.69 | 2.03 | 59% | 23% | 18% | 50% | 49% | FK Sutjeska Nikšić (+56.0%) |
| Leones vs Deportivo Cuenca | LigaPro | 16/07/2026 00:00 | 2.35 | 2.65 | 3.45 | 40% | 33% | 27% | 26% | 33% | Deportivo Cuenca (+24.8%) |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) vs Liga de Quito | LigaPro | 16/07/2026 00:00 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 42% | 34% | 24% | 23% | 31% | Nul (+12.8%) |
| Miami FC vs Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 16/07/2026 01:00 | 2.69 | 3.24 | 2.38 | 21% | 24% | 55% | 49% | 49% | Nul (+15.2%) |
| Lexington SC vs New Mexico United | USL Championship | 16/07/2026 01:00 | 1.61 | 3.83 | 4.60 | 51% | 26% | 23% | 46% | 49% | New Mexico United (+77.6%) |
| Orlando Pride vs Boston Legacy FC | NWSL | 16/07/2026 01:00 | 1.66 | 3.74 | 4.17 | 64% | 18% | 18% | 73% | 67% | Boston Legacy FC (+57.9%) |
| Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds | USL Championship | 16/07/2026 01:30 | 3.85 | 3.55 | 1.80 | 80% | 14% | 6% | 59% | 39% | Sporting JAX (+42.8%) |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC vs Washington Spirit | NWSL | 16/07/2026 02:00 | 2.32 | 2.75 | 3.21 | 41% | 23% | 36% | 64% | 66% | Washington Spirit (+13.9%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC | LigaPro | 16/07/2026 02:30 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.50 | 9% | 31% | 61% | 19% | 18% | Guayaquil City FC (+120.0%) |
| Vålerenga IF vs Aalesunds FK | Eliteserien | 16/07/2026 19:00 | 1.72 | 4.07 | 4.12 | 38% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 63% | Aalesunds FK (+53.5%) |
| Vålerenga vs Aalesund | Eliteserien | 16/07/2026 19:00 | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 38% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 63% | Nul (+52.6%) |
| Derry City vs CSKA Sofia | Europa League | 16/07/2026 19:30 | 3.32 | 3.55 | 1.98 | 26% | 27% | 47% | 44% | 48% | Nul (+28.7%) |
| FC Universitatea Cluj vs Dynamo Kyiv | Europa League | 16/07/2026 19:30 | 5.58 | 3.97 | 1.53 | 33% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 40% | FC Universitatea Cluj (+122.5%) |
| NK Aluminij Kidričevo vs Sheriff Tiraspol | Europa League | 16/07/2026 20:00 | 3.78 | 3.21 | 1.97 | 58% | 28% | 14% | 30% | 31% | NK Aluminij Kidričevo (+39.5%) |
| Ferencváros TC vs FK Vojvodina | Europa League | 16/07/2026 20:15 | 1.43 | 4.74 | 5.84 | 67% | 18% | 15% | 64% | 57% | FK Vojvodina (+132.5%) |
| MŠK Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split | Europa League | 16/07/2026 20:30 | 2.98 | 3.40 | 2.19 | 71% | 16% | 14% | 76% | 65% | Nul (+22.0%) |
| IF Vestri vs Qarabağ FK | Europa League | 16/07/2026 22:00 | 31.25 | 11.13 | 1.07 | 66% | 17% | 16% | 75% | 67% | IF Vestri (+1261.9%) |
| Aucas vs Independiente del Valle | LigaPro | 16/07/2026 23:30 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 27% | 28% | 45% | 41% | 46% | Nul (+8.5%) |
| Botafogo vs Santos | Brasileirao | 17/07/2026 00:30 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.53 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Santos (+26.9%) |
| Vitória vs Vasco da Gama | Brasileirao | 17/07/2026 00:30 | 2.31 | 3.25 | 3.06 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 53% | 55% | Nul (+14.2%) |
| CRB vs Náutico | Serie B | 17/07/2026 01:00 | 1.95 | 3.15 | 4.00 | 49% | 23% | 27% | 59% | 60% | Náutico (+49.8%) |
| CF Montréal vs Toronto FC | MLS | 17/07/2026 01:30 | 1.97 | 3.69 | 3.47 | 46% | 19% | 35% | 86% | 83% | Nul (+34.3%) |
| Club Necaxa vs Atlante FC | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 02:00 | 1.87 | 3.57 | 3.80 | 26% | 20% | 54% | 76% | 73% | Atlante FC (+39.7%) |
| Orense vs Emelec | LigaPro | 17/07/2026 02:00 | 2.05 | 2.85 | 3.90 | 38% | 35% | 27% | 21% | 30% | Emelec (+46.2%) |
| St.Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | MLS | 17/07/2026 02:30 | 1.44 | 4.88 | 6.04 | 70% | 17% | 13% | 65% | 56% | Sporting Kansas City (+140.6%) |
| Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps | MLS | 17/07/2026 02:30 | 2.75 | 3.67 | 2.31 | 28% | 23% | 49% | 62% | 63% | Nul (+34.2%) |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers | MLS | 17/07/2026 04:30 | 1.48 | 4.73 | 5.49 | 66% | 20% | 15% | 58% | 52% | Portland Timbers (+115.7%) |
| Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 05:00 | 3.57 | 3.38 | 1.99 | 30% | 22% | 48% | 65% | 65% | Club Tijuana (+29.2%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:00 | 4.12 | 3.85 | 1.76 | 14% | 19% | 67% | 59% | 53% | Qingdao West Coast (+53.9%) |
| Henan FC vs Qingdao Hainiu | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.54 | 4.10 | 5.54 | 40% | 25% | 35% | 53% | 57% | Qingdao Hainiu (+119.8%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren FC | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.38 | 4.93 | 6.67 | 60% | 19% | 21% | 73% | 68% | Liaoning Tieren FC (+170.3%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 14:00 | 2.54 | 3.74 | 2.39 | 44% | 20% | 36% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+38.1%) |
| FC Voluntari vs FC Botoșani | Superliga | 17/07/2026 17:30 | 2.48 | 3.09 | 2.81 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 33% | 36% | Nul (+7.4%) |
| FK Spartak Varna vs FC CSKA 1948 Sofia | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 18:00 | 5.15 | 3.66 | 1.60 | 19% | 29% | 52% | 31% | 35% | FK Spartak Varna (+103.5%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.82 | 3.85 | 3.87 | 47% | 20% | 32% | 77% | 75% | Västerås SK (+42.2%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 26% | 21% | 53% | 68% | 66% | Nul (+34.4%) |
| Bodø/Glimt vs Fredrikstad FK | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.17 | 7.80 | 13.01 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad FK (+451.4%) |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad (+406.1%) |
| Levski Sofia vs FK Dunav Ruse | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.14 | 6.74 | 17.73 | 81% | 14% | 5% | 56% | 35% | FK Dunav Ruse (+673.2%) |
| FCSB vs FC Argeș Pitești | Superliga | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 1.60 | 3.97 | 4.89 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 41% | FC Argeș Pitești (+90.1%) |
| Juventude vs Cuiabá | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.11 | 2.86 | 3.92 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 23% | Cuiabá (+46.4%) |
| São Bernardo vs Avaí | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 1.93 | 3.21 | 4.00 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 20% | Avaí (+49.7%) |
| América Mineiro vs Ceará | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.46 | 3.07 | 2.91 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 35% | Nul (+6.1%) |
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 00:30 | 1.43 | 4.70 | 6.36 | 72% | 17% | 12% | 64% | 54% | Chapecoense (+156.1%) |
| Fluminense vs Red Bull Bragantino | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.94 | 3.31 | 3.98 | 36% | 28% | 36% | 43% | 49% | Red Bull Bragantino (+48.2%) |
| Mirassol vs Grêmio | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.96 | 3.31 | 3.89 | 36% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 42% | Grêmio (+44.0%) |
| Fluminense FC vs RB Bragantino | Brasileirão | 18/07/2026 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kansas City Current vs San Diego Wave FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.06 | 3.15 | 3.28 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 59% | 61% | San Diego Wave FC (+16.9%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).