Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 16/07/2026 20:55. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Vestri vs Qarabağ FK | Europa League | 16/07/2026 22:00 | 17.13 | 8.47 | 1.13 | 66% | 17% | 16% | 75% | 67% | IF Vestri (+636.3%) |
| Aucas vs Independiente del Valle | LigaPro | 16/07/2026 23:30 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 27% | 28% | 45% | 41% | 46% | Nul (+12.6%) |
| Botafogo vs Santos | Brasileirao | 17/07/2026 00:30 | 2.06 | 3.44 | 3.43 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Nul (+22.7%) |
| Vitória vs Vasco da Gama | Brasileirao | 17/07/2026 00:30 | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.07 | 47% | 25% | 28% | 53% | 55% | Nul (+14.2%) |
| CRB vs Náutico | Serie B | 17/07/2026 01:00 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 49% | 23% | 27% | 59% | 60% | Náutico (+48.7%) |
| CF Montréal vs Toronto FC | MLS | 17/07/2026 01:30 | 2.01 | 3.68 | 3.40 | 46% | 19% | 35% | 86% | 83% | Nul (+33.8%) |
| Orense vs Emelec | LigaPro | 17/07/2026 02:00 | 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.60 | 38% | 35% | 27% | 21% | 30% | Emelec (+32.2%) |
| Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps | MLS | 17/07/2026 02:30 | 2.76 | 3.64 | 2.32 | 28% | 23% | 49% | 62% | 63% | Nul (+32.8%) |
| St.Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | MLS | 17/07/2026 02:30 | 1.45 | 4.90 | 6.03 | 70% | 17% | 13% | 65% | 56% | Sporting Kansas City (+139.9%) |
| Club Necaxa vs Atlante FC | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 03:00 | 1.89 | 3.55 | 3.80 | 26% | 20% | 54% | 76% | 73% | Atlante FC (+39.6%) |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers | MLS | 17/07/2026 04:30 | 1.48 | 4.85 | 5.53 | 66% | 20% | 15% | 58% | 52% | Portland Timbers (+117.0%) |
| Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 05:10 | 3.58 | 3.37 | 1.99 | 30% | 22% | 48% | 65% | 65% | Club Tijuana (+29.7%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:00 | 4.09 | 3.87 | 1.76 | 14% | 19% | 67% | 59% | 53% | Qingdao West Coast (+52.5%) |
| Henan FC vs Qingdao Hainiu | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.98 | 40% | 25% | 35% | 53% | 57% | Qingdao Hainiu (+140.0%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren FC | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.38 | 4.95 | 6.71 | 60% | 19% | 21% | 73% | 68% | Liaoning Tieren FC (+172.0%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 14:00 | 2.48 | 3.73 | 2.46 | 44% | 20% | 36% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+37.6%) |
| FC Voluntari vs FC Botoșani | Superliga | 17/07/2026 17:30 | 2.46 | 3.10 | 2.82 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 33% | 36% | Nul (+7.9%) |
| FK Spartak Varna vs FC CSKA 1948 Sofia | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 18:00 | 5.17 | 3.67 | 1.61 | 19% | 29% | 52% | 31% | 35% | FK Spartak Varna (+104.2%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.81 | 3.84 | 3.89 | 47% | 20% | 32% | 77% | 75% | Västerås SK (+43.2%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.89 | 3.71 | 3.71 | 26% | 21% | 53% | 68% | 66% | Nul (+34.9%) |
| Bodø/Glimt vs Fredrikstad FK | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.16 | 7.91 | 13.15 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad FK (+457.8%) |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad (+406.1%) |
| Levski Sofia vs FK Dunav Ruse | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.14 | 6.92 | 17.53 | 81% | 14% | 5% | 56% | 35% | FK Dunav Ruse (+662.7%) |
| FCSB vs FC Argeș Pitești | Superliga | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 1.61 | 3.96 | 4.80 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 41% | FC Argeș Pitești (+85.9%) |
| Juventude vs Cuiabá | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.09 | 2.86 | 3.99 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 23% | Cuiabá (+49.7%) |
| São Bernardo vs Avaí | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 1.93 | 3.21 | 3.98 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 20% | Avaí (+48.8%) |
| América Mineiro vs Ceará | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.46 | 3.07 | 2.91 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 35% | Nul (+6.1%) |
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 00:30 | 1.44 | 4.66 | 6.29 | 72% | 17% | 12% | 64% | 54% | Chapecoense (+152.9%) |
| Fluminense vs Red Bull Bragantino | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.94 | 3.31 | 3.98 | 36% | 28% | 36% | 43% | 49% | Red Bull Bragantino (+48.2%) |
| Mirassol vs Grêmio | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.96 | 3.31 | 3.89 | 36% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 42% | Grêmio (+44.0%) |
| Fluminense FC vs RB Bragantino | Brasileirão | 18/07/2026 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fortaleza vs Grêmio Novorizontino | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.72 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 50% | 50% | Grêmio Novorizontino (+36.7%) |
| Kansas City Current vs San Diego Wave FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.07 | 3.16 | 3.27 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 59% | 61% | San Diego Wave FC (+16.4%) |
| Londrina vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.32 | 3.01 | 3.17 | 37% | 28% | 35% | 43% | 49% | Botafogo-SP (+10.9%) |
| Nashville SC vs Atlanta United | MLS | 18/07/2026 02:10 | 1.44 | 4.59 | 6.54 | 85% | 11% | 4% | 65% | 38% | Atlanta United (+164.6%) |
| Atlético San Luis vs Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 3.83 | 3.58 | 1.86 | 25% | 20% | 55% | 73% | 70% | Atlético San Luis (+41.1%) |
| Club León vs Atlas FC | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 1.95 | 3.42 | 3.68 | 57% | 22% | 21% | 58% | 57% | Atlas FC (+34.3%) |
| LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.84 | 3.59 | 2.30 | 33% | 24% | 43% | 59% | 61% | Nul (+30.2%) |
| LA Galaxy vs LAFC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 81% | 79% | Nul (+31.4%) |
| FC Juárez vs Club Puebla | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 05:00 | 1.64 | 3.86 | 4.77 | 72% | 14% | 14% | 85% | 73% | Club Puebla (+84.6%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 07:00 | 9.53 | 6.36 | 1.20 | 15% | 19% | 66% | 59% | 53% | Gold Coast United (+299.2%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:00 | 1.65 | 4.39 | 3.82 | 40% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 53% | Nul (+67.6%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:30 | 2.36 | 3.94 | 2.35 | 77% | 15% | 8% | 60% | 44% | Nul (+48.8%) |
| Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane City | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 09:00 | 2.97 | 4.13 | 1.93 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+57.0%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.23 | 6.11 | 8.64 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 40% | 41% | Magic United TFA (+258.8%) |
| Jeju SK vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.81 | 2.98 | 2.60 | 24% | 39% | 38% | 16% | 24% | Nul (+1.9%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.37 | 3.32 | 2.83 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+17.9%) |
| Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 1.84 | 3.42 | 4.16 | 64% | 26% | 10% | 29% | 26% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC (+56.7%) |
| Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 3.08 | 3.13 | 2.30 | 28% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 40% | Nul (+8.9%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.39 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+23.9%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).