Pronostics football & tennis — Top 41 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 41 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 24/06/2026 17:12. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 41)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 19:00 | 1.59 | 3.78 | 5.63 | 69% | 18% | 13% | 65% | 56% | Qatar (+124.7%) |
| Switzerland vs Canada | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 19:00 | 2.08 | 3.24 | 3.43 | 36% | 24% | 40% | 59% | 61% | Canada (+22.9%) |
| Morocco vs Haiti | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 22:00 | 1.23 | 5.98 | 12.20 | 64% | 25% | 11% | 34% | 30% | Haiti (+421.0%) |
| Scotland vs Brazil | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 22:00 | 7.85 | 4.60 | 1.38 | 17% | 27% | 56% | 35% | 37% | Scotland (+225.7%) |
| South Africa vs South Korea | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 01:00 | 3.87 | 3.37 | 1.94 | 28% | 34% | 38% | 24% | 32% | South Africa (+43.0%) |
| Czechia vs Mexico | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 01:00 | 4.36 | 3.47 | 1.81 | 41% | 29% | 29% | 36% | 42% | Czechia (+65.8%) |
| Curaçao vs Côte d'Ivoire | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 20:00 | 9.14 | 4.99 | 1.31 | 74% | 20% | 6% | 36% | 23% | Curaçao (+284.5%) |
| Ecuador vs Germany | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 20:00 | 4.93 | 3.77 | 1.66 | 8% | 18% | 74% | 51% | 38% | Ecuador (+91.9%) |
| Curaçao vs Ivory Coast | FIFA World Cup | 25/06/2026 20:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tunisia vs Netherlands | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 23:00 | 6.12 | 4.09 | 1.51 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Tunisia (+146.7%) |
| Japan vs Sweden | World Cup 2026 | 25/06/2026 23:00 | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 82% | 10% | 8% | 87% | 68% | Sweden (+25.7%) |
| Türkiye vs USA | World Cup 2026 | 26/06/2026 02:00 | 2.68 | 3.32 | 2.52 | 21% | 24% | 55% | 50% | 51% | Nul (+17.8%) |
| Paraguay vs Australia | World Cup 2026 | 26/06/2026 02:00 | 2.17 | 3.15 | 3.40 | 23% | 28% | 49% | 37% | 41% | Australia (+21.3%) |
| Turkey vs United States | FIFA World Cup | 26/06/2026 02:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun | Chinese Super League | 26/06/2026 11:35 | 2.50 | 3.57 | 2.49 | 41% | 23% | 36% | 66% | 67% | Nul (+30.1%) |
| Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United FC | Premier Division | 26/06/2026 18:30 | 1.41 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 81% | 13% | 6% | 60% | 38% | Galway United FC (+186.2%) |
| Derry City vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 26/06/2026 18:45 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.50 | 70% | 15% | 15% | 80% | 70% | Drogheda United (+118.5%) |
| Dundalk vs Waterford | Premier Division | 26/06/2026 18:45 | 1.48 | 4.70 | 5.50 | 79% | 13% | 8% | 72% | 54% | Waterford (+116.4%) |
| Norway vs France | World Cup 2026 | 26/06/2026 19:00 | 4.28 | 3.51 | 1.79 | 40% | 20% | 39% | 79% | 77% | Norway (+62.3%) |
| Senegal vs Iraq | World Cup 2026 | 26/06/2026 19:00 | 1.43 | 4.26 | 6.96 | 80% | 20% | 0% | 21% | 0% | Iraq (+185.9%) |
| Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athletic | Premier Division | 26/06/2026 19:00 | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 28% | 20% | 52% | 74% | 72% | Nul (+14.4%) |
| Cabo Verde vs Saudi Arabia | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 00:00 | 2.49 | 3.29 | 2.74 | 35% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 27% | Nul (+16.3%) |
| Uruguay vs Spain | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 00:00 | 5.10 | 3.82 | 1.63 | 20% | 23% | 57% | 52% | 51% | Uruguay (+99.8%) |
| Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia | FIFA World Cup | 27/06/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Egypt vs Iran | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 03:00 | 2.26 | 2.95 | 3.47 | 44% | 24% | 32% | 60% | 62% | Iran (+24.7%) |
| New Zealand vs Belgium | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 03:00 | 9.89 | 5.54 | 1.28 | 80% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 0% | New Zealand (+316.4%) |
| Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 27/06/2026 11:00 | 2.59 | 3.71 | 2.36 | 43% | 24% | 32% | 56% | 59% | Nul (+36.7%) |
| Henan FC vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 27/06/2026 11:35 | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.38 | 39% | 32% | 29% | 29% | 37% | Nul (+24.2%) |
| Shenzhen Peng City vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 27/06/2026 11:35 | 4.39 | 3.82 | 1.69 | 20% | 24% | 56% | 49% | 49% | Shenzhen Peng City (+67.0%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 27/06/2026 12:00 | 2.08 | 3.05 | 3.60 | 47% | 31% | 22% | 29% | 35% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+31.3%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns | Chinese Super League | 27/06/2026 12:00 | 1.39 | 4.78 | 6.60 | 71% | 16% | 13% | 75% | 64% | Wuhan Three Towns (+167.6%) |
| Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne | Premier Division | 27/06/2026 18:45 | 4.40 | 3.55 | 1.74 | 22% | 24% | 54% | 49% | 51% | Sligo Rovers (+68.1%) |
| Croatia vs Ghana | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 21:00 | 1.70 | 3.58 | 4.85 | 75% | 19% | 6% | 39% | 25% | Ghana (+88.7%) |
| Panama vs England | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 21:00 | 10.99 | 5.87 | 1.24 | 32% | 31% | 37% | 31% | 38% | Panama (+366.2%) |
| Colombia vs Portugal | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 23:30 | 3.38 | 3.23 | 2.15 | 46% | 28% | 26% | 38% | 44% | Colombia (+20.2%) |
| DR Congo vs Uzbekistan | World Cup 2026 | 27/06/2026 23:30 | 2.49 | 3.22 | 2.79 | 81% | 19% | 0% | 23% | 0% | Nul (+13.0%) |
| Jordan vs Argentina | World Cup 2026 | 28/06/2026 02:00 | 14.52 | 6.80 | 1.18 | 7% | 10% | 83% | 83% | 62% | Jordan (+524.0%) |
| Algeria vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 28/06/2026 02:00 | 3.27 | 3.04 | 2.29 | 39% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 40% | Algeria (+15.3%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 28/06/2026 10:00 | 2.27 | 3.52 | 2.82 | 32% | 26% | 42% | 50% | 54% | Nul (+27.5%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shanghai Shenhua | Chinese Super League | 28/06/2026 11:00 | 2.44 | 3.43 | 2.62 | 32% | 21% | 47% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+23.5%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs CRB | Serie B | 30/06/2026 23:00 | 2.60 | 2.45 | 3.40 | 9% | 24% | 67% | 32% | 26% | CRB (+22.2%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).