Pronostics football & tennis — Top 43 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 43 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 05/07/2026 15:49. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 43)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 16:30 | 3.81 | 3.62 | 1.88 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+39.8%) |
| MAS de Fès vs Olympique Dcheira | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 1.53 | 3.55 | 5.96 | 62% | 27% | 11% | 28% | 26% | Olympique Dcheira (+142.6%) |
| Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi vs RS Berkane | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 6.54 | 3.74 | 1.45 | 27% | 34% | 39% | 24% | 32% | Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi (+169.8%) |
| Ittihad Tanger vs CODM Meknès | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 2.23 | 2.86 | 3.20 | 37% | 41% | 22% | 13% | 20% | CODM Meknès (+13.5%) |
| Wydad Casablanca vs Union Touarga Sport | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 2.50 | 3.11 | 2.55 | 54% | 27% | 19% | 37% | 40% | Nul (+9.5%) |
| Hassania d'Agadir vs Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 1.75 | 3.08 | 4.75 | 27% | 37% | 36% | 18% | 27% | Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech (+86.7%) |
| AS FAR Rabat vs Renaissance Zemamra | Botola Pro | 05/07/2026 19:00 | 1.35 | 4.08 | 8.25 | 68% | 23% | 9% | 34% | 28% | Renaissance Zemamra (+248.9%) |
| Macará vs Liga de Quito | LigaPro | 05/07/2026 20:00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 24% | 37% | 39% | 18% | 26% | Macará (+17.3%) |
| Brazil vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 05/07/2026 22:00 | 1.81 | 3.67 | 4.42 | 83% | 10% | 7% | 83% | 62% | Norway (+67.4%) |
| Delfín vs Emelec | LigaPro | 06/07/2026 00:00 | 2.70 | 2.85 | 2.75 | 22% | 49% | 29% | 7% | 13% | Nul (+-3.8%) |
| Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC | USL Championship | 06/07/2026 01:00 | 2.51 | 3.69 | 2.26 | 31% | 26% | 43% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+37.2%) |
| Náutico vs Juventude | Serie B | 06/07/2026 01:30 | 2.23 | 2.95 | 3.44 | 20% | 27% | 53% | 37% | 40% | Juventude (+23.6%) |
| Mexico vs England | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 02:00 | 3.12 | 3.13 | 2.44 | 26% | 26% | 48% | 45% | 49% | Nul (+7.9%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.46 | 3.58 | 2.59 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+30.2%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 3.23 | 3.38 | 2.15 | 27% | 24% | 49% | 56% | 58% | Nul (+20.2%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+31.0%) |
| Portugal vs Spain | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 21:00 | 3.92 | 3.59 | 1.92 | 34% | 30% | 37% | 36% | 43% | Portugal (+44.4%) |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) vs Mushuc Runa | LigaPro | 06/07/2026 23:30 | 1.51 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 62% | 24% | 14% | 42% | 39% | Mushuc Runa (+95.4%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs Avaí | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.86 | 3.20 | 4.37 | 56% | 32% | 13% | 21% | 22% | Avaí (+67.2%) |
| Vila Nova FC vs São Bernardo | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.99 | 3.18 | 3.81 | 32% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 28% | São Bernardo (+40.8%) |
| USA vs Belgium | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 02:00 | 2.69 | 3.34 | 2.62 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 72% | 72% | Nul (+18.0%) |
| United States vs Belgium | FIFA World Cup | 07/07/2026 02:00 | — | — | — | 8% | 15% | 77% | 64% | 48% | — |
| Orense vs Técnico Universitario | LigaPro | 07/07/2026 02:00 | 1.77 | 3.45 | 4.10 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 34% | 41% | Técnico Universitario (+54.8%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 07/07/2026 11:30 | 3.50 | 4.11 | 1.76 | 16% | 17% | 66% | 75% | 67% | Nul (+55.1%) |
| FK Kauno Žalgiris vs FC Drita | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.27 | 3.23 | 2.95 | 50% | 22% | 29% | 68% | 67% | Nul (+14.1%) |
| Lincoln Red Imps vs Inter Club d'Escaldes | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.54 | 3.22 | 2.54 | 60% | 26% | 13% | 33% | 32% | Nul (+14.1%) |
| Sabah FK vs The New Saints | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.27 | 4.80 | 9.80 | 33% | 29% | 39% | 39% | 46% | The New Saints (+317.7%) |
| Argentina vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 1.39 | 4.61 | 8.62 | 82% | 14% | 5% | 53% | 31% | Egypt (+260.4%) |
| FC Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC | Champions League | 07/07/2026 18:00 | 2.93 | 3.50 | 2.16 | 42% | 29% | 29% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+26.9%) |
| FK Vardar Skopje vs Kuopion Palloseura | Champions League | 07/07/2026 19:00 | 2.27 | 3.49 | 2.77 | 36% | 23% | 41% | 67% | 67% | Nul (+26.5%) |
| FK Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia | Champions League | 07/07/2026 20:30 | 2.77 | 3.14 | 2.53 | 11% | 16% | 73% | 63% | 51% | Nul (+9.4%) |
| Switzerland vs Colombia | World Cup 2026 | 07/07/2026 22:00 | 3.52 | 3.08 | 2.24 | 53% | 24% | 23% | 52% | 53% | Switzerland (+26.3%) |
| Athletic Club vs Operário-PR | Serie B | 08/07/2026 01:00 | 2.41 | 2.91 | 3.12 | 32% | 31% | 37% | 31% | 39% | Operário-PR (+8.6%) |
| Kairat Almaty vs FK Sutjeska Nikšić | Champions League | 08/07/2026 17:00 | 1.31 | 4.74 | 8.80 | 5% | 12% | 83% | 61% | 36% | FK Sutjeska Nikšić (+270.6%) |
| ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.38 | 40% | 31% | 29% | 31% | 38% | Nul (+7.3%) |
| FC Petrocub Hîncesti vs KF Egnatia | Champions League | 08/07/2026 19:00 | 2.51 | 3.14 | 2.51 | 66% | 18% | 17% | 72% | 65% | Nul (+11.0%) |
| Hartford Athletic vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 1.96 | 3.43 | 3.41 | 26% | 35% | 40% | 22% | 30% | Nul (+23.2%) |
| Ponte Preta vs Criciúma | Serie B | 09/07/2026 01:00 | 4.78 | 3.36 | 1.74 | 4% | 17% | 79% | 40% | 22% | Ponte Preta (+86.3%) |
| Dundalk vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 10/07/2026 20:45 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.70 | 21% | 20% | 59% | 67% | 63% | Drogheda United (+81.1%) |
| Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 14:00 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 41% | 26% | 33% | 51% | 55% | Nul (+17.3%) |
| Aalesund vs Molde | Eliteserien | 11/07/2026 16:00 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 68% | 65% | Nul (+35.9%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 2.13 | 3.53 | 3.14 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+27.4%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 1.45 | 4.63 | 6.13 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+145.6%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).