Pronostics football & tennis — Top 32 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 32 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 29/06/2026 09:18. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 32)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs Japan | World Cup 2026 | 29/06/2026 17:00 | 1.71 | 3.68 | 5.16 | 54% | 27% | 20% | 37% | 40% | Japan (+101.9%) |
| Germany vs Paraguay | World Cup 2026 | 29/06/2026 20:30 | 1.36 | 5.01 | 8.72 | 91% | 6% | 2% | 79% | 41% | Paraguay (+263.4%) |
| Netherlands vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 01:00 | 2.24 | 3.09 | 3.54 | 45% | 22% | 33% | 68% | 68% | Morocco (+27.1%) |
| VPS vs Inter Turku | Suomen Cup | 30/06/2026 15:00 | 3.59 | 3.18 | 2.01 | 37% | 25% | 38% | 52% | 56% | VPS (+30.9%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 17:00 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 2.02 | 59% | 20% | 21% | 68% | 65% | Côte d'Ivoire (+30.9%) |
| Ivory Coast vs Norway | FIFA World Cup | 30/06/2026 17:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| France vs Sweden | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 21:00 | 1.27 | 6.02 | 10.50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Sweden (+341.7%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs CRB | Serie B | 30/06/2026 23:00 | 2.35 | 2.70 | 3.55 | 9% | 24% | 67% | 32% | 26% | CRB (+28.9%) |
| Mexico vs Ecuador | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 01:00 | 2.22 | 2.94 | 3.84 | 45% | 28% | 27% | 41% | 46% | Ecuador (+41.3%) |
| England vs DR Congo | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.27 | 5.46 | 12.14 | 34% | 29% | 37% | 39% | 45% | DR Congo (+419.7%) |
| HJK vs Ilves | Suomen Cup | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.67 | 3.98 | 4.14 | 75% | 12% | 12% | 91% | 79% | Ilves (+55.4%) |
| Belgium vs Senegal | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 20:00 | 2.21 | 3.23 | 3.43 | 69% | 16% | 14% | 75% | 66% | Senegal (+21.9%) |
| USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 00:00 | 1.37 | 4.84 | 8.80 | 73% | 14% | 13% | 85% | 73% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+267.8%) |
| United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup | 02/07/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | 58% | 17% | 25% | 91% | 86% | — |
| Spain vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 19:00 | 1.31 | 5.22 | 10.51 | 70% | 16% | 14% | 77% | 67% | Austria (+345.3%) |
| Portugal vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.79 | 3.52 | 4.78 | 71% | 19% | 10% | 51% | 41% | Croatia (+84.6%) |
| Cuiabá vs América Mineiro | Serie B | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.86 | 3.12 | 4.51 | 58% | 28% | 14% | 29% | 30% | América Mineiro (+74.0%) |
| Derry City vs Waterford | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 64% | 20% | 16% | 59% | 54% | Waterford (+163.6%) |
| Drogheda United vs Bohemians | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.69 | 53% | 28% | 19% | 35% | 38% | Drogheda United (+77.2%) |
| Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 46% | 26% | 28% | 47% | 51% | Sligo Rovers (+106.6%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Galway United FC | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.40 | 4.70 | 6.50 | 57% | 26% | 17% | 38% | 39% | Galway United FC (+163.2%) |
| Shelbourne vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 19:00 | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.60 | 37% | 27% | 35% | 44% | 50% | Nul (+36.6%) |
| Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 03/07/2026 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 23:00 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 29% | 32% | 38% | 28% | 36% | Sporting JAX (+67.7%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.97 | 3.40 | 2.23 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 60% | 59% | Nul (+21.7%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.69 | 3.35 | 2.47 | 47% | 23% | 29% | 60% | 61% | Nul (+19.4%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 2.23 | 3.48 | 2.94 | 58% | 22% | 21% | 58% | 56% | Nul (+25.4%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 1.50 | 4.38 | 5.51 | 65% | 20% | 15% | 56% | 51% | Örgryte IS (+117.8%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:30 | 3.62 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 35% | 27% | 39% | 47% | 52% | IF Elfsborg (+31.2%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.46 | 3.62 | 2.55 | 49% | 20% | 30% | 76% | 74% | Nul (+32.2%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 3.30 | 3.41 | 2.10 | 24% | 25% | 51% | 48% | 50% | Nul (+21.6%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.55 | 49% | 20% | 30% | 76% | 74% | Nul (+36.2%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).