Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 01/07/2026 09:07. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs DR Congo | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.29 | 5.19 | 12.23 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 47% | 47% | DR Congo (+424.9%) |
| HJK vs Ilves | Suomen Cup | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.62 | 4.08 | 4.27 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 78% | 70% | Ilves (+61.5%) |
| Belgium vs Senegal | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 20:00 | 2.13 | 3.31 | 3.54 | 79% | 11% | 10% | 95% | 83% | Senegal (+27.0%) |
| Liga de Quito vs Orense | LigaPro | 01/07/2026 22:00 | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.75 | 45% | 30% | 26% | 33% | 40% | Orense (+131.3%) |
| USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 00:00 | 1.39 | 4.86 | 8.20 | 89% | 6% | 5% | 98% | 82% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+239.7%) |
| United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup | 02/07/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | 58% | 17% | 25% | 91% | 86% | — |
| Spain vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 19:00 | 1.33 | 5.11 | 9.43 | 60% | 16% | 24% | 96% | 91% | Austria (+296.1%) |
| Portugal vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.79 | 3.50 | 4.78 | 89% | 8% | 3% | 69% | 35% | Croatia (+84.7%) |
| Cuiabá vs América Mineiro | Serie B | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.82 | 3.20 | 4.67 | 59% | 32% | 9% | 17% | 16% | América Mineiro (+81.2%) |
| Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 00:00 | 2.66 | 3.37 | 2.35 | 31% | 29% | 40% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+21.3%) |
| Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta | Serie B | 03/07/2026 00:00 | 1.31 | 4.89 | 9.28 | 74% | 18% | 8% | 46% | 34% | Ponte Preta (+291.5%) |
| Switzerland vs Algeria | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 03:00 | 2.05 | 3.22 | 3.91 | 91% | 6% | 4% | 96% | 73% | Algeria (+44.4%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Henan FC | Chinese Super League | 03/07/2026 12:00 | 2.40 | 3.52 | 2.65 | 51% | 23% | 26% | 58% | 58% | Nul (+27.6%) |
| IK Sirius vs Mjällby AIF | Allsvenskan | 03/07/2026 17:00 | 1.70 | 3.78 | 4.50 | 69% | 18% | 13% | 62% | 53% | Mjällby AIF (+72.0%) |
| Australia vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 18:00 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 2.47 | 22% | 37% | 41% | 18% | 25% | Australia (+16.1%) |
| Derry City vs Waterford | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 45% | 47% | Waterford (+163.4%) |
| Drogheda United vs Bohemians | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.71 | 48% | 20% | 32% | 80% | 77% | Drogheda United (+76.9%) |
| Shelbourne vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.05 | 40% | 27% | 34% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+35.6%) |
| Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 64% | 63% | Sligo Rovers (+106.6%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Galway United FC | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.41 | 4.70 | 6.50 | 31% | 35% | 35% | 23% | 32% | Galway United FC (+163.0%) |
| Argentina vs Cabo Verde | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 22:00 | 1.18 | 7.22 | 17.12 | 85% | 12% | 2% | 46% | 17% | Cabo Verde (+639.0%) |
| Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 03/07/2026 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 23:00 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 3% | 7% | 90% | 79% | 45% | Sporting JAX (+67.7%) |
| Colombia vs Ghana | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 01:30 | 1.52 | 3.91 | 7.16 | 60% | 33% | 7% | 15% | 13% | Ghana (+195.1%) |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gangwon FC | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 10:30 | 2.25 | 2.99 | 3.34 | 35% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 28% | Gangwon FC (+18.8%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Bucheon FC 1995 | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 10:30 | 1.75 | 3.42 | 4.61 | 43% | 37% | 20% | 17% | 24% | Bucheon FC 1995 (+78.1%) |
| FC Anyang vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 10:30 | 2.86 | 2.98 | 2.53 | 39% | 36% | 25% | 19% | 27% | Nul (+2.1%) |
| Liaoning Tieren FC vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 11:00 | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.45 | 28% | 26% | 45% | 46% | 51% | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (+23.9%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 11:00 | 3.00 | 3.41 | 2.22 | 36% | 25% | 39% | 56% | 59% | Nul (+22.1%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 11:35 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.91 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Nul (+48.7%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Wuhan Three Towns | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 11:35 | 1.71 | 3.69 | 4.39 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 73% | 71% | Wuhan Three Towns (+67.3%) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 12:00 | 2.19 | 3.40 | 2.99 | 46% | 24% | 30% | 57% | 59% | Nul (+21.9%) |
| FC Lahti vs IF Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 12:00 | 2.34 | 3.26 | 2.91 | 36% | 28% | 37% | 43% | 49% | Nul (+15.1%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 3.13 | 3.34 | 2.19 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 78% | 76% | Nul (+18.6%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.72 | 3.33 | 2.47 | 29% | 21% | 50% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+18.3%) |
| FF Jaro vs Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 14:00 | 3.28 | 3.65 | 2.01 | 18% | 18% | 64% | 76% | 69% | Nul (+33.0%) |
| VPS vs IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 15:00 | 1.31 | 5.12 | 8.80 | 83% | 14% | 3% | 46% | 21% | IFK Mariehamn (+268.1%) |
| Canada vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 17:00 | 4.73 | 3.46 | 1.81 | 41% | 20% | 39% | 79% | 77% | Canada (+82.4%) |
| Criciúma vs Sport Recife | Serie B | 04/07/2026 19:00 | 1.91 | 3.21 | 4.06 | 32% | 40% | 27% | 14% | 23% | Sport Recife (+52.6%) |
| Grêmio Novorizontino vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 04/07/2026 19:00 | 1.88 | 3.31 | 4.03 | 54% | 26% | 20% | 40% | 43% | Atlético Goianiense (+51.1%) |
| Londrina vs CRB | Serie B | 04/07/2026 19:00 | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.70 | 14% | 18% | 68% | 66% | 58% | Nul (+0.4%) |
| Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 20:00 | 2.66 | 3.45 | 2.31 | 35% | 24% | 41% | 60% | 62% | Nul (+25.1%) |
| Paraguay vs France | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 15.30 | 6.56 | 1.20 | 1% | 4% | 95% | 86% | 40% | Paraguay (+559.6%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington SC | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 22:00 | 1.57 | 3.83 | 4.94 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 34% | 32% | Lexington SC (+93.6%) |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 23:00 | 1.53 | 3.93 | 5.33 | 71% | 18% | 11% | 54% | 44% | Brooklyn FC (+111.4%) |
| Goiás vs Ceará | Serie B | 04/07/2026 23:00 | 2.14 | 2.98 | 3.61 | 35% | 32% | 33% | 30% | 38% | Ceará (+31.6%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 23:30 | 1.57 | 3.86 | 4.97 | 39% | 24% | 37% | 57% | 60% | Orange County SC (+94.8%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 2.23 | 3.51 | 2.93 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.8%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.54 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+119.1%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:30 | 3.62 | 3.61 | 1.91 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+31.2%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).