Pronostics football & tennis — Top 40 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 40 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 06/06/2026 22:43. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 40)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs Honduras | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 00:00 | 1.18 | 6.59 | 16.25 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Honduras (+603.9%) |
| Liechtenstein vs Cyprus | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 13:00 | 8.15 | 4.02 | 1.39 | 0% | 2% | 87% | 65% | 0% | Liechtenstein (+243.4%) |
| Denmark vs Ukraine | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 16:30 | 1.70 | 3.46 | 5.23 | 72% | 11% | 10% | 80% | 66% | Ukraine (+106.6%) |
| Kosovo vs Andorra | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 18:00 | 1.16 | 6.40 | 15.50 | 77% | 20% | 3% | 29% | 13% | Andorra (+572.6%) |
| Croatia vs Slovenia | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 18:45 | 1.35 | 4.56 | 9.39 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 0% | 0% | Slovenia (+297.5%) |
| Morocco vs Norway | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 19:00 | 3.08 | 3.26 | 2.28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Nul (+14.7%) |
| Greece vs Italy | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 19:00 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.33 | 18% | 14% | 61% | 84% | 77% | Nul (+21.0%) |
| Ecuador vs Guatemala | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 20:00 | 1.21 | 6.20 | 10.73 | 0% | 26% | 74% | 16% | 0% | Guatemala (+353.9%) |
| Colombia vs Jordan | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 23:00 | 1.13 | 6.59 | 14.63 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Jordan (+533.7%) |
| Netherlands vs Uzbekistan | Int. Friendly Games | 08/06/2026 18:45 | 1.22 | 5.25 | 11.13 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Uzbekistan (+377.7%) |
| France vs Northern Ireland | Int. Friendly Games | 08/06/2026 19:10 | 1.08 | 8.05 | 15.50 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Northern Ireland (+568.5%) |
| América Mineiro vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 08/06/2026 23:00 | 2.42 | 2.98 | 3.00 | 11% | 27% | 61% | 28% | 26% | Atlético Goianiense (+3.0%) |
| Vila Nova FC vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 08/06/2026 23:00 | 2.01 | 2.98 | 4.04 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 31% | 35% | Botafogo-SP (+52.0%) |
| Armenia vs Moldova | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 15:00 | 1.52 | 3.71 | 5.71 | 60% | 24% | 15% | 41% | 40% | Moldova (+130.3%) |
| Belarus vs Burkina Faso | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 16:30 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.92 | 1% | 3% | 70% | 67% | 36% | Belarus (+29.2%) |
| Hungary vs Kazakhstan | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 17:00 | 1.21 | 5.50 | 10.55 | 67% | 17% | 15% | 69% | 61% | Kazakhstan (+349.8%) |
| Russia vs Trinidad and Tobago | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 17:00 | 1.05 | 15.25 | 44.00 | 61% | 25% | 14% | 36% | 35% | Trinidad and Tobago (+1812.9%) |
| San Marino vs Azerbaijan | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 18:00 | 13.50 | 5.80 | 1.17 | 11% | 31% | 57% | 21% | 21% | San Marino (+485.0%) |
| Náutico vs Fortaleza | Serie B | 09/06/2026 22:00 | 2.28 | 3.06 | 3.17 | 42% | 29% | 28% | 36% | 42% | Fortaleza (+10.9%) |
| Portugal vs Nigeria | Int. Friendly Games | 10/06/2026 19:45 | 1.21 | 5.26 | 10.98 | 0% | 16% | 83% | 27% | 0% | Nigeria (+371.2%) |
| England vs Costa Rica | Int. Friendly Games | 10/06/2026 20:00 | 1.19 | 6.72 | 14.75 | 0% | 13% | 86% | 33% | 0% | Costa Rica (+534.3%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 10/06/2026 23:00 | 1.70 | 3.62 | 4.22 | 71% | 21% | 8% | 37% | 28% | Charleston Battery (+60.2%) |
| Ceará vs Avaí | Serie B | 10/06/2026 23:00 | 1.82 | 3.26 | 4.57 | 47% | 29% | 23% | 33% | 39% | Avaí (+76.3%) |
| Goiás vs Grêmio Novorizontino | Serie B | 10/06/2026 23:00 | 2.11 | 3.04 | 3.61 | 29% | 31% | 40% | 32% | 40% | Grêmio Novorizontino (+31.6%) |
| Detroit City FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 10/06/2026 23:30 | 1.83 | 3.45 | 3.80 | 53% | 23% | 24% | 58% | 58% | El Paso Locomotive FC (+40.7%) |
| Sport Recife vs Athletic Club | Serie B | 11/06/2026 00:00 | 1.75 | 3.29 | 4.83 | 66% | 23% | 10% | 36% | 31% | Athletic Club (+88.9%) |
| Monterey Bay vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 11/06/2026 02:00 | 1.83 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 55% | 45% | 0% | 5% | 0% | Nul (+29.2%) |
| Phoenix Rising FC vs Louisville City FC | USL Championship | 11/06/2026 02:30 | 2.92 | 3.34 | 2.19 | 56% | 22% | 22% | 60% | 59% | Nul (+19.7%) |
| Mexico vs South Africa | World Cup 2026 | 11/06/2026 19:00 | 1.45 | 4.30 | 7.66 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | South Africa (+217.0%) |
| South Korea vs Czechia | World Cup 2026 | 12/06/2026 02:00 | 2.64 | 3.12 | 2.81 | 80% | 1% | 0% | 65% | 0% | Nul (+7.7%) |
| Derry City vs Bohemians | Premier Division | 12/06/2026 18:45 | 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 58% | 24% | 18% | 45% | 45% | Nul (+12.2%) |
| Galway United FC vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 12/06/2026 18:45 | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 39% | 21% | 39% | 73% | 72% | Nul (+31.3%) |
| Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 12/06/2026 18:45 | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.65 | 46% | 29% | 24% | 33% | 39% | Nul (+7.6%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Drogheda United | Premier Division | 12/06/2026 18:45 | 1.34 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 0% | 24% | 76% | 17% | 0% | Drogheda United (+233.3%) |
| Waterford vs Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 12/06/2026 18:45 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.05 | 42% | 29% | 30% | 38% | 44% | Nul (+17.2%) |
| Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 12/06/2026 19:00 | 1.83 | 3.62 | 4.33 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+63.4%) |
| USA vs Paraguay | World Cup 2026 | 13/06/2026 01:00 | 1.98 | 3.39 | 3.87 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Paraguay (+42.5%) |
| Qatar vs Switzerland | World Cup 2026 | 13/06/2026 19:00 | 12.12 | 6.07 | 1.24 | 51% | 49% | 0% | 4% | 0% | Qatar (+416.2%) |
| Brazil vs Egypt | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 22:00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Brazil (+-66.7%) |
| Venezuela vs Türkiye | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 22:00 | 5.95 | 4.25 | 1.49 | 76% | 24% | 0% | 17% | 0% | Venezuela (+138.6%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).