Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 17/07/2026 02:11. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St.Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City | MLS | 17/07/2026 02:30 | 1.43 | 4.94 | 6.17 | 70% | 17% | 13% | 65% | 56% | Sporting Kansas City (+146.5%) |
| Club Necaxa vs Atlante FC | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 03:00 | 1.89 | 3.60 | 3.79 | 26% | 20% | 54% | 76% | 73% | Atlante FC (+38.9%) |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs Portland Timbers | MLS | 17/07/2026 04:30 | 1.47 | 4.88 | 5.64 | 66% | 20% | 15% | 58% | 52% | Portland Timbers (+122.0%) |
| Club Tijuana vs Tigres UANL | Liga MX | 17/07/2026 05:10 | 3.57 | 3.37 | 2.01 | 30% | 22% | 48% | 65% | 65% | Club Tijuana (+29.1%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:00 | 4.14 | 3.86 | 1.75 | 14% | 19% | 67% | 59% | 53% | Qingdao West Coast (+54.9%) |
| Henan FC vs Qingdao Hainiu | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.32 | 5.17 | 7.95 | 40% | 25% | 35% | 53% | 57% | Qingdao Hainiu (+228.9%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren FC | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.40 | 4.87 | 6.28 | 60% | 19% | 21% | 73% | 68% | Liaoning Tieren FC (+152.5%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 14:00 | 2.53 | 3.83 | 2.38 | 44% | 20% | 36% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+42.3%) |
| FC Voluntari vs FC Botoșani | Superliga | 17/07/2026 17:30 | 2.45 | 3.09 | 2.85 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 33% | 36% | Nul (+7.3%) |
| FK Spartak Varna vs FC CSKA 1948 Sofia | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 18:00 | 5.19 | 3.69 | 1.61 | 19% | 29% | 52% | 31% | 35% | FK Spartak Varna (+105.0%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.81 | 3.78 | 3.93 | 47% | 20% | 32% | 77% | 75% | Västerås SK (+45.2%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.88 | 3.71 | 3.69 | 26% | 21% | 53% | 68% | 66% | Nul (+35.1%) |
| Bodø/Glimt vs Fredrikstad FK | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.15 | 8.38 | 14.80 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad FK (+530.6%) |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.13 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad (+493.4%) |
| Levski Sofia vs FK Dunav Ruse | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.14 | 7.07 | 16.90 | 81% | 14% | 5% | 56% | 35% | FK Dunav Ruse (+633.1%) |
| FCSB vs FC Argeș Pitești | Superliga | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 1.61 | 3.96 | 4.87 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 41% | FC Argeș Pitești (+89.0%) |
| Juventude vs Cuiabá | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.08 | 2.89 | 4.00 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 23% | Cuiabá (+50.1%) |
| São Bernardo vs Avaí | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 1.94 | 3.23 | 4.01 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 20% | Avaí (+49.9%) |
| América Mineiro vs Ceará | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.44 | 3.09 | 2.93 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 35% | Nul (+7.0%) |
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 00:30 | 1.44 | 4.69 | 6.41 | 72% | 17% | 12% | 64% | 54% | Chapecoense (+158.2%) |
| Fluminense vs Red Bull Bragantino | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.94 | 3.36 | 4.02 | 36% | 28% | 36% | 43% | 49% | Red Bull Bragantino (+49.7%) |
| Mirassol vs Grêmio | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.97 | 3.34 | 3.88 | 36% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 42% | Grêmio (+43.3%) |
| Fluminense FC vs RB Bragantino | Brasileirão | 18/07/2026 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fortaleza vs Grêmio Novorizontino | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.11 | 3.01 | 3.70 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 50% | 50% | Grêmio Novorizontino (+35.7%) |
| Kansas City Current vs San Diego Wave FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.01 | 3.26 | 3.35 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 59% | 61% | San Diego Wave FC (+19.9%) |
| Londrina vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.29 | 3.03 | 3.23 | 37% | 28% | 35% | 43% | 49% | Botafogo-SP (+13.6%) |
| Delfín vs Macará | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 24% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 18% | Delfín (+-7.9%) |
| Nashville SC vs Atlanta United | MLS | 18/07/2026 02:10 | 1.47 | 4.49 | 6.26 | 85% | 11% | 4% | 65% | 38% | Atlanta United (+151.7%) |
| Atlético San Luis vs Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 3.85 | 3.60 | 1.87 | 25% | 20% | 55% | 73% | 70% | Atlético San Luis (+41.8%) |
| Club León vs Atlas FC | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 2.00 | 3.42 | 3.52 | 57% | 22% | 21% | 58% | 57% | Atlas FC (+26.8%) |
| LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.90 | 3.61 | 2.27 | 33% | 24% | 43% | 59% | 61% | Nul (+31.0%) |
| LA Galaxy vs LAFC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 81% | 79% | Nul (+31.4%) |
| FC Juárez vs Club Puebla | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 05:00 | 1.65 | 3.88 | 4.79 | 72% | 14% | 14% | 85% | 73% | Club Puebla (+85.2%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 07:00 | 7.28 | 5.76 | 1.27 | 15% | 19% | 66% | 59% | 53% | Gold Coast United (+197.4%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:00 | 1.70 | 4.25 | 3.58 | 40% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 53% | Nul (+61.8%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:30 | 2.19 | 3.94 | 2.56 | 77% | 15% | 8% | 60% | 44% | Nul (+48.6%) |
| Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane City | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 09:00 | 3.06 | 3.95 | 1.92 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+48.5%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.28 | 5.64 | 6.99 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 40% | 41% | Magic United TFA (+184.4%) |
| Jeju SK vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.92 | 3.00 | 2.48 | 24% | 39% | 38% | 16% | 24% | Nul (+2.9%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.40 | 3.29 | 2.80 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+16.6%) |
| Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 1.84 | 3.42 | 4.16 | 64% | 26% | 10% | 29% | 26% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC (+56.7%) |
| Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 3.09 | 3.13 | 2.30 | 28% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 40% | Nul (+8.9%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.37 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 1.42 | 4.64 | 6.35 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 74% | 70% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+156.2%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 2.18 | 3.67 | 2.88 | 34% | 20% | 46% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+34.5%) |
| Vietnam vs Myanmar | Int. Friendly Games | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.01 | 10.00 | 17.00 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 96% | 61% | Myanmar (+633.8%) |
| HamKam vs Tromsø IL | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.37 | 3.18 | 2.18 | 31% | 23% | 45% | 61% | 62% | HamKam (+19.8%) |
| HJK vs VPS | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.89 | 3.82 | 3.45 | 33% | 20% | 47% | 80% | 77% | Nul (+40.9%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.10 | 3.46 | 3.19 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+24.3%) |
| Hamarkameratene vs Tromso | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.45 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 60% | 54% | Hamarkameratene (+23.5%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).