Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 17/07/2026 19:30. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell vs KRC Genk | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:00 | 4.10 | 3.77 | 1.71 | 54% | 25% | 21% | 46% | 48% | Motherwell (+54.0%) |
| West Bromwich Albion vs Bromley | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:00 | 1.52 | 4.03 | 5.25 | 30% | 30% | 39% | 33% | 40% | Bromley (+107.4%) |
| FK Austria Wien vs Paksi FC | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:00 | 1.86 | 3.87 | 3.32 | 59% | 19% | 22% | 76% | 72% | Nul (+44.1%) |
| Alfreton Town vs Derby County | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:00 | 24.00 | 7.40 | 1.08 | 58% | 21% | 21% | 63% | 60% | Alfreton Town (+959.2%) |
| FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.28 | 40% | 24% | 36% | 61% | 63% | FC Vaduz (+62.5%) |
| Levski Sofia vs FK Dunav Ruse | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.12 | 7.86 | 19.74 | 81% | 14% | 5% | 56% | 35% | FK Dunav Ruse (+758.2%) |
| Accrington Stanley vs Bradford City | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 6.00 | 4.07 | 1.46 | 19% | 33% | 48% | 22% | 28% | Accrington Stanley (+142.5%) |
| FCSB vs FC Argeș Pitești | Superliga | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 1.60 | 3.92 | 4.95 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 41% | FC Argeș Pitești (+93.0%) |
| Benfica vs Villarreal | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:45 | 1.75 | 3.77 | 4.00 | 90% | 8% | 2% | 59% | 19% | Villarreal (+49.1%) |
| Heart of Midlothian vs Rayo Vallecano | Club Friendlies | 17/07/2026 20:45 | 2.93 | 3.25 | 2.29 | 72% | 19% | 9% | 48% | 37% | Nul (+14.9%) |
| São Bernardo vs Avaí | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 1.94 | 3.23 | 3.99 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 20% | Avaí (+49.0%) |
| América Mineiro vs Ceará | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.48 | 2.95 | 2.99 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 35% | Ceará (+2.4%) |
| Juventude vs Cuiabá | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.05 | 2.85 | 4.22 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 23% | Cuiabá (+60.5%) |
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 00:30 | 1.42 | 4.74 | 6.82 | 72% | 17% | 12% | 64% | 54% | Chapecoense (+177.0%) |
| Flamengo vs Olimpia | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.30 | 5.35 | 8.50 | 46% | 26% | 28% | 46% | 51% | Olimpia (+253.6%) |
| Fluminense vs Red Bull Bragantino | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.86 | 3.42 | 4.32 | 36% | 28% | 36% | 43% | 49% | Red Bull Bragantino (+63.6%) |
| Mirassol vs Grêmio | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.89 | 36% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 42% | Grêmio (+43.8%) |
| Fluminense FC vs RB Bragantino | Brasileirão | 18/07/2026 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Táchira | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 1.58 | 3.78 | 5.03 | 36% | 23% | 41% | 63% | 64% | Deportivo Táchira (+97.7%) |
| Fortaleza vs Grêmio Novorizontino | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.06 | 3.12 | 3.75 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 50% | 50% | Grêmio Novorizontino (+37.8%) |
| Kansas City Current vs San Diego Wave FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 59% | 61% | Nul (+20.1%) |
| Londrina vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.52 | 3.00 | 2.87 | 37% | 28% | 35% | 43% | 49% | Nul (+2.9%) |
| Delfín vs Macará | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.80 | 24% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 18% | Macará (+-6.2%) |
| Nashville SC vs Atlanta United | MLS | 18/07/2026 02:10 | 1.53 | 4.36 | 5.53 | 85% | 11% | 4% | 65% | 38% | Atlanta United (+118.2%) |
| Atlético San Luis vs Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.83 | 23% | 35% | 41% | 20% | 28% | Atlético San Luis (+48.9%) |
| Club León vs Atlas FC | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 2.02 | 3.43 | 3.44 | 34% | 23% | 43% | 64% | 65% | Atlas FC (+23.0%) |
| LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.76 | 3.64 | 2.32 | 33% | 24% | 43% | 59% | 61% | Nul (+32.8%) |
| LA Galaxy vs LAFC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.80 | 3.70 | 2.20 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 81% | 79% | Nul (+36.2%) |
| FC Juárez vs Club Puebla | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 05:00 | 1.66 | 3.86 | 4.70 | 49% | 28% | 24% | 39% | 43% | Club Puebla (+81.1%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 07:00 | 7.30 | 5.70 | 1.27 | 15% | 19% | 66% | 59% | 53% | Gold Coast United (+198.5%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:00 | 1.73 | 4.16 | 3.54 | 40% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 53% | Nul (+57.5%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:30 | 2.14 | 3.91 | 2.64 | 77% | 15% | 8% | 60% | 44% | Nul (+47.2%) |
| Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane City | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 09:00 | 3.13 | 4.01 | 1.89 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+51.1%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.32 | 5.43 | 6.44 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 40% | 41% | Magic United TFA (+159.3%) |
| FC Andorra vs Stevenage | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 11:00 | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 19% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 20% | Nul (+31.9%) |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 11:00 | 1.63 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 28% | 23% | 49% | 62% | 62% | Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring (+60.8%) |
| Jeju SK vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.95 | 2.99 | 2.47 | 24% | 39% | 38% | 16% | 24% | Nul (+2.4%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.40 | 3.33 | 2.80 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+18.3%) |
| Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 1.83 | 3.46 | 4.18 | 64% | 26% | 10% | 29% | 26% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC (+57.6%) |
| Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.30 | 28% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 40% | Nul (+9.7%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.74 | 3.45 | 2.38 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 1.44 | 4.56 | 6.06 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 74% | 70% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+143.0%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 2.22 | 3.67 | 2.81 | 34% | 20% | 46% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+34.6%) |
| Vietnam vs Myanmar | Int. Friendly Games | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.25 | 5.63 | 9.94 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 96% | 61% | Myanmar (+319.4%) |
| HamKam vs Tromsø IL | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.40 | 3.18 | 2.17 | 31% | 23% | 45% | 61% | 62% | HamKam (+21.2%) |
| HJK vs VPS | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.47 | 33% | 20% | 47% | 80% | 77% | Nul (+37.5%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.01 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Hamarkameratene vs Tromso | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 2.20 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 60% | 54% | Hamarkameratene (+25.4%) |
| AIK vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.59 | 3.41 | 2.54 | 27% | 26% | 47% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+22.1%) |
| Dundee FC vs Everton | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 5.93 | 4.34 | 1.44 | 41% | 26% | 34% | 50% | 54% | Dundee FC (+138.3%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).