Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 18/07/2026 12:33. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town vs Zoria Luhansk | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 4.15 | 3.88 | 1.63 | 23% | 34% | 43% | 22% | 29% | Grimsby Town (+56.8%) |
| Hillerød Fodbold vs Lyngby | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.01 | 41% | 32% | 27% | 29% | 36% | Nul (+30.3%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.78 | 3.43 | 2.34 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+23.2%) |
| Chatham Town vs Margate | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 13:30 | 1.51 | 4.05 | 4.65 | 33% | 25% | 42% | 53% | 56% | Margate (+80.4%) |
| Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 13:30 | 1.26 | 5.70 | 7.25 | 25% | 28% | 47% | 39% | 44% | Swindon Town (+196.6%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 1.46 | 4.52 | 5.86 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 74% | 70% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+133.8%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 2.24 | 3.72 | 2.76 | 34% | 20% | 46% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+36.9%) |
| FC Groningen vs AEK Athens | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 4.95 | 4.45 | 1.55 | 17% | 25% | 58% | 41% | 41% | FC Groningen (+91.4%) |
| NAC Breda vs Excelsior | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 34% | 25% | 41% | 53% | 57% | Nul (+23.9%) |
| Wigan Athletic vs Port Vale | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.12 | 47% | 33% | 19% | 22% | 28% | Nul (+13.3%) |
| Wuppertaler SV vs Borussia M'gladbach | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 21.00 | 9.90 | 1.02 | 76% | 17% | 8% | 51% | 37% | Wuppertaler SV (+813.8%) |
| VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Verl | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.35 | 4.60 | 6.10 | 29% | 24% | 47% | 58% | 59% | SC Verl (+146.8%) |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Al-Fayha | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.46 | 4.15 | 5.05 | 72% | 15% | 13% | 78% | 67% | Al-Fayha (+98.9%) |
| Barnet vs Luton Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.20 | 3.47 | 1.99 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 58% | 57% | Nul (+25.7%) |
| Hibernian vs Brøndby IF | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.52 | 3.35 | 2.44 | 30% | 29% | 41% | 38% | 44% | Nul (+20.6%) |
| KV Mechelen vs ADO Den Haag | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.38 | 3.43 | 2.60 | 42% | 23% | 35% | 67% | 67% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| FC Zürich vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.85 | 3.45 | 2.13 | 29% | 31% | 40% | 30% | 38% | Nul (+25.4%) |
| Burton Albion vs Leicester City | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.90 | 3.65 | 2.15 | 31% | 27% | 41% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+33.8%) |
| Vietnam vs Myanmar | Int. Friendly Games | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.22 | 6.33 | 10.30 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 96% | 61% | Myanmar (+333.3%) |
| HamKam vs Tromsø IL | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.54 | 3.16 | 2.14 | 31% | 23% | 45% | 61% | 62% | HamKam (+27.6%) |
| HJK vs VPS | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.95 | 3.73 | 3.41 | 27% | 20% | 53% | 73% | 71% | Nul (+36.5%) |
| Zagłębie Lubin vs Chrobry Głogów | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.94 | 3.38 | 3.38 | 54% | 25% | 22% | 46% | 48% | Nul (+21.4%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.01 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Hamarkameratene vs Tromso | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.65 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 60% | 54% | Hamarkameratene (+32.1%) |
| Arka Gdynia vs Wikęd Luzino | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Polonia Środa Wielkopolska vs Olimpia Grudziądz | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Polonia Warszawa vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KS Goczałkowice-Zdrój vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Resovia Rzeszów | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stal Stalowa Wola vs Widzew II Łódź | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FC Luzern vs Sint-Truidense VV | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:30 | 2.10 | 3.65 | 2.65 | 44% | 22% | 34% | 70% | 70% | Nul (+35.8%) |
| Dundee FC vs Everton | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 4.61 | 4.09 | 1.58 | 41% | 26% | 34% | 50% | 54% | Dundee FC (+77.3%) |
| AIK vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.62 | 3.38 | 2.54 | 27% | 26% | 47% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+20.6%) |
| FC Liefering vs SV Wehen Wiesbaden | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.55 | 3.33 | 2.40 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 52% | Nul (+19.8%) |
| Cardiff Met FC vs Brackley Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.20 | 86% | 9% | 4% | 75% | 47% | Nul (+21.3%) |
| Northampton Town vs Coventry City | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 6.58 | 4.42 | 1.38 | 21% | 18% | 62% | 80% | 74% | Northampton Town (+168.9%) |
| Basel vs Juventus | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 3.35 | 3.52 | 1.95 | 24% | 24% | 52% | 50% | 52% | Nul (+27.5%) |
| Sportfreunde Baumberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 51.00 | 26.00 | 1.01 | 32% | 28% | 41% | 43% | 48% | Sportfreunde Baumberg (+2101.5%) |
| Sportfreunde Lotte vs Real Betis | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 14.75 | 5.15 | 1.16 | 59% | 23% | 17% | 48% | 46% | Sportfreunde Lotte (+549.0%) |
| AFC Ajax vs Olympiacos FC | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 2.89 | 3.43 | 2.27 | 21% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 38% | Nul (+23.2%) |
| LASK vs Fortuna Düsseldorf | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 1.97 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 61% | 18% | 22% | 80% | 75% | Nul (+31.8%) |
| FC Aarau vs 1. FC Union Berlin | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 61% | 19% | 21% | 74% | 69% | FC Aarau (+68.2%) |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Waldhof Mannheim | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.56 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 31% | 28% | 41% | 42% | 48% | SV Waldhof Mannheim (+85.6%) |
| FC United of Manchester vs Salford City | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.05 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 32% | 29% | 39% | 39% | 46% | FC United of Manchester (+52.4%) |
| Sutton United vs AFC Wimbledon | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.05 | 3.75 | 1.65 | 63% | 19% | 18% | 66% | 60% | Sutton United (+52.7%) |
| Merthyr Town vs Forest Green Rovers | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.45 | 3.60 | 1.61 | 36% | 26% | 38% | 48% | 53% | Merthyr Town (+72.0%) |
| Evesham United vs Cheltenham Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.40 | 48% | 18% | 34% | 92% | 88% | Evesham United (+111.9%) |
| Avro FC vs FC Halifax Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.50 | 4.25 | 1.50 | 23% | 30% | 48% | 32% | 38% | Avro FC (+72.9%) |
| Palermo vs FC Ingolstadt 04 | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.43 | 67% | 20% | 13% | 55% | 48% | FC Ingolstadt 04 (+23.6%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).