Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 18/07/2026 16:20. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City vs Holstein Kiel | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:30 | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 53% | 23% | 23% | 54% | 55% | Nul (+27.6%) |
| Manchester United vs Wrexham | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.54 | 57% | 21% | 22% | 66% | 63% | Wrexham (+73.3%) |
| SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs Borussia Dortmund | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 11.33 | 8.03 | 1.15 | 30% | 21% | 49% | 73% | 72% | SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen (+376.1%) |
| Lorient vs Nantes | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 2.08 | 3.03 | 3.48 | 62% | 22% | 17% | 52% | 50% | Nantes (+26.2%) |
| Sampdoria vs AC Taverne | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 1.09 | 8.40 | 18.75 | 13% | 21% | 67% | 49% | 43% | AC Taverne (+713.0%) |
| RKC Waalwijk vs FC Volendam | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 66% | 19% | 15% | 61% | 55% | Nul (+25.1%) |
| FC Eindhoven vs FC Den Bosch | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 79% | 13% | 8% | 74% | 56% | Nul (+32.5%) |
| Stade Lavallois vs Caen | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 2.45 | 3.05 | 2.75 | 71% | 16% | 13% | 73% | 63% | Nul (+6.1%) |
| SC Oțelul Galați vs CFR 1907 Cluj | Superliga | 18/07/2026 17:30 | 3.11 | 3.12 | 2.28 | 24% | 36% | 41% | 20% | 27% | Nul (+8.5%) |
| Amiens SC vs Quevilly - Rouen Métropole | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 2.53 | 3.35 | 2.40 | 58% | 16% | 26% | 93% | 88% | Nul (+20.8%) |
| Stade Brestois vs US Concarneau | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 1.55 | 3.93 | 4.90 | 37% | 31% | 32% | 32% | 39% | US Concarneau (+91.6%) |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC vs Seattle Reign FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 1.49 | 3.95 | 5.73 | 45% | 24% | 31% | 57% | 59% | Seattle Reign FC (+130.3%) |
| FK Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | Parva Liga | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 3.60 | 3.09 | 2.06 | 61% | 18% | 20% | 77% | 71% | FK Septemvri Sofia (+31.3%) |
| Molde FK vs SK Brann | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 2.10 | 3.83 | 3.05 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Nul (+41.3%) |
| Viking FK vs Sandefjord Fotball | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 1.26 | 5.95 | 9.51 | 79% | 14% | 7% | 63% | 44% | Sandefjord Fotball (+297.7%) |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City FC | USL Championship | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 3.11 | 3.23 | 2.12 | 39% | 25% | 36% | 54% | 58% | Nul (+14.5%) |
| Atlético Petróleos de Luanda vs Valencia | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 18:30 | 6.80 | 3.95 | 1.41 | 77% | 23% | 0% | 18% | 0% | Atlético Petróleos de Luanda (+181.2%) |
| Deportivo Alavés vs Eibar | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 19:00 | 1.87 | 3.27 | 3.75 | 40% | 38% | 22% | 15% | 23% | Eibar (+38.9%) |
| Elche vs Kaizer Chiefs | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 19:00 | 1.44 | 3.85 | 6.70 | 60% | 25% | 14% | 37% | 36% | Kaizer Chiefs (+176.6%) |
| SK Rapid Wien vs Hamburger SV | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 19:00 | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 71% | 20% | 9% | 45% | 36% | Nul (+32.1%) |
| Marino Luanco vs Sporting Gijón | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 19:00 | 7.42 | 3.90 | 1.41 | 39% | 29% | 32% | 38% | 45% | Marino Luanco (+210.2%) |
| SD Leioa vs Athletic Club | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 19:30 | 34.00 | 9.85 | 1.04 | 40% | 25% | 35% | 54% | 58% | SD Leioa (+1398.0%) |
| UE Olot vs Espanyol | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 20:00 | 22.67 | 5.22 | 1.15 | 77% | 12% | 11% | 86% | 72% | UE Olot (+915.8%) |
| SD Compostela vs Deportivo de A Coruña | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 20:00 | 17.00 | 5.60 | 1.13 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 48% | 48% | SD Compostela (+650.6%) |
| Denver Summit FC vs Portland Thorns FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 20:00 | 2.13 | 3.51 | 2.84 | 56% | 17% | 27% | 93% | 88% | Nul (+28.1%) |
| Universitatea Craiova vs UTA Arad | Superliga | 18/07/2026 20:15 | 1.42 | 4.26 | 7.13 | 52% | 31% | 17% | 26% | 30% | UTA Arad (+193.9%) |
| Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Parva Liga | 18/07/2026 20:15 | 1.29 | 4.99 | 9.20 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 48% | 51% | Lokomotiv Plovdiv (+288.0%) |
| Sporting Braga vs Celta Vigo | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 20:30 | 1.90 | 3.45 | 3.63 | 42% | 42% | 16% | 10% | 16% | Celta Vigo (+32.4%) |
| Eastleigh vs Southampton | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 20:45 | 12.58 | 6.38 | 1.16 | 22% | 20% | 58% | 70% | 67% | Eastleigh (+439.7%) |
| Ponte Preta vs Goiás | Serie B | 18/07/2026 21:00 | 5.06 | 3.36 | 1.72 | 15% | 26% | 59% | 35% | 35% | Ponte Preta (+99.3%) |
| Criciúma vs Vila Nova FC | Serie B | 18/07/2026 21:00 | 1.72 | 3.28 | 5.29 | 57% | 27% | 16% | 35% | 36% | Vila Nova FC (+110.3%) |
| Sport Recife vs Operário-PR | Serie B | 18/07/2026 21:00 | 1.94 | 3.21 | 4.03 | 53% | 27% | 20% | 39% | 42% | Operário-PR (+50.9%) |
| Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica (Quito) | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 21:00 | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.35 | 26% | 30% | 44% | 32% | 38% | Nul (+10.3%) |
| Bay FC vs North Carolina Courage | NWSL | 18/07/2026 22:00 | 2.90 | 3.36 | 2.15 | 51% | 26% | 24% | 46% | 49% | Nul (+21.0%) |
| France vs England | World Cup 2026 | 18/07/2026 23:00 | 1.88 | 3.96 | 3.76 | 61% | 21% | 18% | 58% | 55% | Nul (+45.8%) |
| Atlético Goianiense vs Athletic Club | Serie B | 18/07/2026 23:00 | 1.96 | 3.11 | 4.06 | 39% | 27% | 34% | 44% | 49% | Athletic Club (+52.6%) |
| Liga de Quito vs Leones | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 23:30 | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 39% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | Leones (+165.1%) |
| Chicago Stars FC vs Angel City FC | NWSL | 19/07/2026 00:30 | 5.12 | 3.88 | 1.53 | 45% | 25% | 31% | 55% | 58% | Chicago Stars FC (+102.2%) |
| Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca | Liga MX | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.36 | 3.35 | 2.83 | 38% | 27% | 36% | 46% | 51% | Nul (+19.3%) |
| Millonarios vs Colo-Colo | Club Friendlies | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.43 | 3.25 | 2.58 | 45% | 26% | 29% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+15.9%) |
| Loudoun United FC vs FC Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 4.99 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 11% | 17% | 72% | 62% | 51% | Loudoun United FC (+95.1%) |
| Detroit City FC vs Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 1.74 | 3.50 | 4.19 | 46% | 27% | 27% | 44% | 48% | Indy Eleven (+58.9%) |
| Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 92% | 6% | 2% | 78% | 36% | Nul (+26.9%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:30 | 1.71 | 3.58 | 4.26 | 47% | 29% | 24% | 33% | 39% | Hartford Athletic (+62.1%) |
| Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:30 | 1.83 | 3.29 | 4.00 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Sacramento Republic FC (+50.4%) |
| Racing Louisville vs Houston Dash | NWSL | 19/07/2026 02:00 | 2.29 | 3.32 | 2.70 | 42% | 21% | 37% | 73% | 72% | Nul (+19.3%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Libertad (Ecuador) | LigaPro | 19/07/2026 02:00 | 1.34 | 4.40 | 9.00 | 9% | 28% | 63% | 25% | 22% | Libertad (Ecuador) (+281.2%) |
| FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 02:30 | 1.98 | 3.44 | 3.29 | 48% | 23% | 29% | 63% | 63% | Nul (+24.0%) |
| Utah Royals FC vs Orlando Pride | NWSL | 19/07/2026 02:45 | 2.05 | 3.36 | 3.13 | 63% | 17% | 19% | 81% | 74% | Nul (+20.6%) |
| San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 03:00 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.69 | 56% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 56% | Las Vegas Lights (+35.9%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).