Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 18/07/2026 22:06. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs England | World Cup 2026 | 18/07/2026 23:00 | 1.87 | 3.96 | 3.79 | 61% | 21% | 18% | 58% | 55% | Nul (+45.8%) |
| Atlético Goianiense vs Athletic Club | Serie B | 18/07/2026 23:00 | 1.99 | 3.10 | 3.94 | 40% | 29% | 31% | 38% | 45% | Athletic Club (+47.0%) |
| Liga de Quito vs Leones | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 23:30 | 1.43 | 4.30 | 7.00 | 39% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 23% | Leones (+187.6%) |
| Chicago Stars FC vs Angel City FC | NWSL | 19/07/2026 00:30 | 5.11 | 3.87 | 1.53 | 45% | 25% | 31% | 55% | 58% | Chicago Stars FC (+101.8%) |
| Pumas UNAM vs CF Pachuca | Liga MX | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.40 | 3.32 | 2.79 | 38% | 27% | 36% | 46% | 51% | Nul (+18.0%) |
| Millonarios vs Colo-Colo | Club Friendlies | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.18 | 3.18 | 3.00 | 45% | 26% | 29% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+12.3%) |
| Loudoun United FC vs FC Tampa Bay Rowdies | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 4.58 | 3.95 | 1.59 | 11% | 17% | 72% | 62% | 51% | Loudoun United FC (+76.4%) |
| Detroit City FC vs Indy Eleven | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 1.74 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 46% | 27% | 27% | 44% | 48% | Indy Eleven (+59.4%) |
| Sporting JAX vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:00 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 92% | 6% | 2% | 78% | 36% | Nul (+26.9%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:30 | 1.71 | 3.58 | 4.27 | 47% | 29% | 24% | 33% | 39% | Hartford Athletic (+62.5%) |
| Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 01:30 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 4.07 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Sacramento Republic FC (+53.6%) |
| Racing Louisville vs Houston Dash | NWSL | 19/07/2026 02:00 | 2.29 | 3.32 | 2.70 | 42% | 21% | 37% | 73% | 72% | Nul (+19.3%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Libertad (Ecuador) | LigaPro | 19/07/2026 02:00 | 1.34 | 4.40 | 9.00 | 9% | 28% | 63% | 25% | 22% | Libertad (Ecuador) (+281.2%) |
| FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 02:30 | 1.97 | 3.51 | 3.28 | 48% | 23% | 29% | 63% | 63% | Nul (+27.2%) |
| Utah Royals FC vs Orlando Pride | NWSL | 19/07/2026 02:45 | 2.06 | 3.36 | 3.11 | 63% | 17% | 19% | 81% | 74% | Nul (+20.6%) |
| San Antonio FC vs Las Vegas Lights | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 03:00 | 1.94 | 3.20 | 3.72 | 56% | 23% | 22% | 56% | 56% | Las Vegas Lights (+37.2%) |
| CF Monterrey vs Santos Laguna | Liga MX | 19/07/2026 03:05 | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.30 | 83% | 11% | 6% | 77% | 55% | Santos Laguna (+107.9%) |
| CD Guadalajara vs CD Toluca | Liga MX | 19/07/2026 03:07 | 2.21 | 3.45 | 3.02 | 68% | 17% | 15% | 74% | 65% | Nul (+23.8%) |
| Phoenix Rising FC vs Monterey Bay FC | USL Championship | 19/07/2026 04:30 | 1.73 | 3.71 | 3.89 | 51% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 52% | Monterey Bay FC (+44.7%) |
| Querétaro FC vs Club América | Liga MX | 19/07/2026 05:10 | 3.63 | 3.49 | 1.95 | 48% | 34% | 18% | 21% | 27% | Querétaro FC (+31.8%) |
| Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar Youth | NPL Queensland | 19/07/2026 08:00 | 1.77 | 4.20 | 3.38 | 25% | 26% | 49% | 44% | 48% | Nul (+59.6%) |
| FC Anyang vs Gwangju FC | K-League 1 | 19/07/2026 12:30 | 1.61 | 3.70 | 5.50 | 86% | 10% | 3% | 59% | 28% | Gwangju FC (+118.9%) |
| Bucheon FC 1995 vs FC Seoul | K-League 1 | 19/07/2026 12:30 | 4.73 | 3.47 | 1.74 | 14% | 29% | 56% | 26% | 28% | Bucheon FC 1995 (+83.4%) |
| KS Cracovia vs Sevilla | Club Friendlies | 19/07/2026 16:00 | 4.18 | 4.00 | 1.68 | 30% | 30% | 39% | 34% | 41% | KS Cracovia (+57.0%) |
| FC Universitatea Cluj vs FCV Farul Constanța | Superliga | 19/07/2026 16:00 | 2.01 | 3.34 | 3.48 | 48% | 22% | 31% | 70% | 69% | FCV Farul Constanța (+25.3%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs IK Sirius | Allsvenskan | 19/07/2026 16:30 | 3.42 | 3.60 | 1.99 | 21% | 21% | 58% | 63% | 60% | Nul (+30.4%) |
| Hammarby IF vs Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 19/07/2026 16:30 | 1.26 | 5.48 | 10.50 | 79% | 14% | 7% | 65% | 47% | Degerfors IF (+345.4%) |
| Halmstads BK vs BK Häcken | Allsvenskan | 19/07/2026 16:30 | 4.88 | 4.31 | 1.58 | 13% | 15% | 72% | 78% | 67% | Halmstads BK (+88.4%) |
| FF Jaro vs Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 19/07/2026 17:30 | 5.51 | 4.10 | 1.54 | 8% | 13% | 79% | 71% | 52% | FF Jaro (+118.4%) |
| FC Petrolul Ploiești vs FC Dinamo București | Superliga | 19/07/2026 18:30 | 3.61 | 3.09 | 2.09 | 39% | 20% | 41% | 81% | 79% | FC Petrolul Ploiești (+31.5%) |
| Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna | Parva Liga | 19/07/2026 18:30 | 2.74 | 2.71 | 2.84 | 37% | 19% | 44% | 87% | 83% | Cherno More Varna (+-4.3%) |
| Spain vs Argentina | World Cup 2026 | 19/07/2026 21:00 | 2.29 | 2.99 | 3.54 | 29% | 24% | 47% | 59% | 60% | Argentina (+27.3%) |
| Boston Legacy FC vs Washington Spirit | NWSL | 20/07/2026 01:00 | 4.23 | 3.54 | 1.71 | 13% | 19% | 67% | 56% | 49% | Boston Legacy FC (+60.9%) |
| FC Corvinul Hunedoara vs FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | Superliga | 20/07/2026 17:30 | 2.17 | 3.18 | 3.24 | 42% | 23% | 35% | 65% | 66% | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (+14.2%) |
| IFK Mariehamn vs FC Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 20/07/2026 18:00 | 5.10 | 4.07 | 1.58 | 7% | 13% | 80% | 72% | 53% | IFK Mariehamn (+99.3%) |
| Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia | Parva Liga | 20/07/2026 18:15 | 6.39 | 4.16 | 1.45 | 24% | 19% | 56% | 75% | 72% | Slavia Sofia (+160.0%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 20/07/2026 19:00 | 2.60 | 3.51 | 2.46 | 31% | 22% | 47% | 68% | 68% | Nul (+27.0%) |
| Örgryte IS vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 20/07/2026 19:00 | 6.48 | 4.86 | 1.40 | 6% | 8% | 86% | 92% | 72% | Örgryte IS (+161.5%) |
| Örgryte IS vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 20/07/2026 19:00 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.41 | 6% | 8% | 86% | 92% | 72% | Örgryte IS (+139.1%) |
| FC Rapid București vs Sepsi OSK | Superliga | 20/07/2026 20:30 | 1.80 | 3.49 | 4.17 | 38% | 29% | 33% | 37% | 44% | Sepsi OSK (+57.3%) |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia | Parva Liga | 20/07/2026 20:30 | 1.73 | 3.55 | 4.41 | 25% | 19% | 56% | 79% | 75% | Lokomotiv Sofia (+68.7%) |
| FC Iberia 1999 vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava | Champions League | 21/07/2026 18:00 | 3.63 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 51% | 28% | 21% | 36% | 40% | FC Iberia 1999 (+32.2%) |
| FC Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Rovers | Champions League | 21/07/2026 18:00 | 2.30 | 3.34 | 2.84 | 44% | 27% | 30% | 46% | 51% | Nul (+19.3%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs Lincoln Red Imps | Champions League | 21/07/2026 18:00 | 1.18 | 6.60 | 13.12 | 52% | 20% | 28% | 73% | 71% | Lincoln Red Imps (+461.7%) |
| Sabah FK vs Kuopion Palloseura | Champions League | 21/07/2026 18:00 | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.43 | 10% | 16% | 73% | 62% | 50% | Kuopion Palloseura (+68.8%) |
| AGF vs Lech Poznań | Champions League | 21/07/2026 19:00 | 2.13 | 3.09 | 3.49 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 79% | 77% | Lech Poznań (+25.9%) |
| Fenerbahçe vs Górnik Zabrze | Champions League | 21/07/2026 20:00 | 1.26 | 5.53 | 10.18 | 59% | 21% | 20% | 60% | 58% | Górnik Zabrze (+330.5%) |
| FC Thun vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb | Champions League | 21/07/2026 20:00 | 3.42 | 3.61 | 1.97 | 73% | 14% | 13% | 85% | 73% | Nul (+31.0%) |
| SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian | Champions League | 21/07/2026 20:30 | 1.88 | 3.51 | 3.83 | 18% | 31% | 51% | 25% | 30% | Heart of Midlothian (+41.2%) |
| Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag vs FK Kauno Žalgiris | Champions League | 21/07/2026 20:45 | 2.28 | 3.13 | 3.05 | 46% | 23% | 31% | 65% | 65% | Nul (+9.2%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).