Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 04/07/2026 11:44. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors vs Gangwon FC | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 3.19 | 35% | 37% | 28% | 19% | 28% | Gangwon FC (+11.7%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Bucheon FC 1995 | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 1.75 | 3.43 | 4.64 | 43% | 37% | 20% | 17% | 24% | Bucheon FC 1995 (+79.4%) |
| FC Anyang vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 04/07/2026 12:30 | 2.90 | 2.94 | 2.54 | 39% | 36% | 25% | 19% | 27% | Nul (+0.1%) |
| Liaoning Tieren FC vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.08 | 3.21 | 3.52 | 28% | 26% | 45% | 46% | 51% | Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (+27.0%) |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.99 | 3.58 | 2.20 | 36% | 25% | 39% | 56% | 59% | Nul (+29.7%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:35 | 1.74 | 4.06 | 3.92 | 49% | 20% | 31% | 77% | 75% | Nul (+51.2%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Wuhan Three Towns | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 13:35 | 1.68 | 3.77 | 4.57 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 73% | 71% | Wuhan Three Towns (+75.4%) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 04/07/2026 14:00 | 2.13 | 3.38 | 3.21 | 46% | 24% | 30% | 57% | 59% | Nul (+20.5%) |
| FC Lahti vs IF Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 14:00 | 2.35 | 3.28 | 2.89 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 72% | 62% | Nul (+16.0%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 15:00 | 3.28 | 3.37 | 2.13 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 78% | 76% | Nul (+19.7%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 15:00 | 2.87 | 3.36 | 2.38 | 29% | 21% | 50% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+19.4%) |
| FF Jaro vs Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 16:00 | 3.29 | 3.64 | 2.02 | 18% | 16% | 65% | 84% | 76% | Nul (+32.4%) |
| VPS vs IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 04/07/2026 17:00 | 1.30 | 5.19 | 9.05 | 92% | 6% | 3% | 88% | 55% | IFK Mariehamn (+279.5%) |
| Canada vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 19:00 | 4.51 | 3.34 | 1.88 | 44% | 25% | 31% | 53% | 57% | Canada (+72.3%) |
| Criciúma vs Sport Recife | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 2.00 | 3.13 | 3.88 | 43% | 33% | 24% | 25% | 33% | Sport Recife (+44.1%) |
| Grêmio Novorizontino vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 1.94 | 3.26 | 3.87 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 50% | 50% | Atlético Goianiense (+43.6%) |
| Londrina vs CRB | Serie B | 04/07/2026 21:00 | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 14% | 18% | 68% | 66% | 58% | Nul (+9.3%) |
| Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 04/07/2026 22:00 | 2.70 | 3.47 | 2.27 | 35% | 24% | 41% | 60% | 62% | Nul (+26.0%) |
| Paraguay vs France | World Cup 2026 | 04/07/2026 23:00 | 15.74 | 6.93 | 1.19 | 2% | 8% | 90% | 67% | 29% | Paraguay (+577.7%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 00:00 | 1.57 | 3.87 | 4.91 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 34% | 32% | Lexington SC (+92.0%) |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 1.58 | 3.76 | 4.99 | 71% | 18% | 11% | 54% | 44% | Brooklyn FC (+96.0%) |
| Goiás vs Ceará | Serie B | 05/07/2026 01:00 | 2.14 | 2.99 | 3.62 | 45% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 39% | Ceará (+32.0%) |
| Rhode Island FC vs Orange County SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 01:30 | 1.57 | 3.86 | 4.89 | 39% | 24% | 37% | 57% | 60% | Orange County SC (+91.1%) |
| Louisville City FC vs Hartford Athletic | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.57 | 3.95 | 4.80 | 41% | 30% | 29% | 33% | 40% | Hartford Athletic (+86.6%) |
| Barcelona SC vs Deportivo Cuenca | LigaPro | 05/07/2026 02:00 | 1.56 | 3.65 | 5.50 | 6% | 23% | 71% | 28% | 18% | Deportivo Cuenca (+120.3%) |
| FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 02:30 | 2.48 | 3.17 | 2.62 | 41% | 31% | 28% | 30% | 37% | Nul (+11.9%) |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Phoenix Rising FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.71 | 3.74 | 4.07 | 48% | 21% | 31% | 71% | 70% | Phoenix Rising FC (+52.8%) |
| San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:00 | 1.81 | 3.56 | 3.78 | 60% | 23% | 17% | 48% | 47% | Monterey Bay FC (+39.5%) |
| New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots SC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 03:30 | 2.51 | 3.34 | 2.48 | 40% | 28% | 32% | 43% | 49% | Nul (+20.0%) |
| Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FC | USL Championship | 05/07/2026 04:30 | 2.51 | 3.42 | 2.43 | 45% | 20% | 36% | 82% | 80% | Nul (+23.9%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:00 | 1.94 | 3.78 | 3.10 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 51% | 53% | Nul (+40.4%) |
| Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar Youth | NPL Queensland | 05/07/2026 07:45 | 1.54 | 4.57 | 4.22 | 32% | 25% | 43% | 52% | 55% | Nul (+75.5%) |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 2.38 | 3.26 | 2.86 | 36% | 34% | 31% | 25% | 34% | Nul (+15.1%) |
| FC Seoul vs Incheon United | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 1.91 | 3.36 | 3.93 | 59% | 24% | 17% | 44% | 44% | Incheon United (+46.0%) |
| Gwangju FC vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 05/07/2026 12:30 | 6.56 | 4.11 | 1.47 | 5% | 12% | 84% | 63% | 38% | Gwangju FC (+167.6%) |
| Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:00 | 5.12 | 4.08 | 1.57 | 14% | 16% | 70% | 72% | 63% | Qingdao Hainiu (+100.4%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 05/07/2026 13:35 | 1.67 | 4.18 | 4.11 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 76% | 69% | Nul (+56.7%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.2%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:00 | 1.50 | 4.43 | 5.63 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+123.0%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 16:30 | 3.63 | 3.61 | 1.92 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+31.5%) |
| Brazil vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 05/07/2026 22:00 | 1.84 | 3.66 | 4.23 | 83% | 10% | 7% | 83% | 62% | Norway (+58.6%) |
| Miami FC vs Birmingham Legion FC | USL Championship | 06/07/2026 01:00 | 2.52 | 3.39 | 2.46 | 31% | 26% | 43% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+22.3%) |
| Náutico vs Juventude | Serie B | 06/07/2026 01:30 | 2.11 | 3.08 | 3.57 | 20% | 27% | 53% | 37% | 40% | Juventude (+29.6%) |
| Mexico vs England | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 02:00 | 3.06 | 3.16 | 2.42 | 26% | 26% | 48% | 45% | 49% | Nul (+9.5%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.58 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+31.2%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 3.24 | 3.39 | 2.14 | 27% | 24% | 49% | 56% | 58% | Nul (+20.7%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 19:00 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+31.0%) |
| Portugal vs Spain | World Cup 2026 | 06/07/2026 21:00 | 3.97 | 3.58 | 1.92 | 34% | 30% | 37% | 36% | 43% | Portugal (+46.6%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs Avaí | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.86 | 3.19 | 4.38 | 56% | 32% | 13% | 21% | 22% | Avaí (+67.7%) |
| Vila Nova FC vs São Bernardo | Serie B | 07/07/2026 00:00 | 1.99 | 3.18 | 3.84 | 32% | 37% | 32% | 19% | 28% | São Bernardo (+42.1%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).