Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 17/07/2026 05:51. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chengdu Rongcheng | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:00 | 4.12 | 3.88 | 1.75 | 14% | 19% | 67% | 59% | 53% | Qingdao West Coast (+53.9%) |
| Henan FC vs Qingdao Hainiu | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.31 | 5.18 | 8.13 | 40% | 25% | 35% | 53% | 57% | Qingdao Hainiu (+237.3%) |
| Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren FC | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 13:35 | 1.41 | 4.86 | 6.23 | 60% | 19% | 21% | 73% | 68% | Liaoning Tieren FC (+150.0%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Chinese Super League | 17/07/2026 14:00 | 2.53 | 3.82 | 2.39 | 44% | 20% | 36% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+41.7%) |
| FC Voluntari vs FC Botoșani | Superliga | 17/07/2026 17:30 | 2.45 | 3.09 | 2.85 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 33% | 36% | Nul (+7.3%) |
| FK Spartak Varna vs FC CSKA 1948 Sofia | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 18:00 | 5.19 | 3.69 | 1.61 | 19% | 29% | 52% | 31% | 35% | FK Spartak Varna (+105.0%) |
| Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.81 | 3.75 | 3.98 | 47% | 20% | 32% | 77% | 75% | Västerås SK (+47.5%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 17/07/2026 19:00 | 1.88 | 3.72 | 3.70 | 26% | 21% | 53% | 68% | 66% | Nul (+35.5%) |
| Bodø/Glimt vs Fredrikstad FK | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.14 | 8.47 | 14.64 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad FK (+523.7%) |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 17/07/2026 19:15 | 1.13 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 82% | 49% | Fredrikstad (+493.4%) |
| Levski Sofia vs FK Dunav Ruse | Parva Liga | 17/07/2026 20:15 | 1.14 | 7.06 | 16.92 | 81% | 14% | 5% | 56% | 35% | FK Dunav Ruse (+634.0%) |
| FCSB vs FC Argeș Pitești | Superliga | 17/07/2026 20:30 | 1.61 | 3.96 | 4.86 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 41% | FC Argeș Pitești (+88.6%) |
| São Bernardo vs Avaí | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 1.94 | 3.23 | 4.01 | 43% | 39% | 18% | 14% | 20% | Avaí (+49.9%) |
| América Mineiro vs Ceará | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.45 | 3.08 | 2.93 | 37% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 35% | Nul (+6.5%) |
| Juventude vs Cuiabá | Serie B | 18/07/2026 00:00 | 2.06 | 2.87 | 4.11 | 34% | 40% | 26% | 14% | 23% | Cuiabá (+55.3%) |
| Bahia vs Chapecoense | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 00:30 | 1.44 | 4.71 | 6.42 | 72% | 17% | 12% | 64% | 54% | Chapecoense (+158.6%) |
| Fluminense vs Red Bull Bragantino | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.94 | 3.36 | 4.03 | 36% | 28% | 36% | 43% | 49% | Red Bull Bragantino (+50.1%) |
| Mirassol vs Grêmio | Brasileirao | 18/07/2026 01:00 | 1.97 | 3.33 | 3.88 | 36% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 42% | Grêmio (+43.3%) |
| Fluminense FC vs RB Bragantino | Brasileirão | 18/07/2026 01:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fortaleza vs Grêmio Novorizontino | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.03 | 3.13 | 3.80 | 19% | 23% | 58% | 50% | 50% | Grêmio Novorizontino (+40.2%) |
| Kansas City Current vs San Diego Wave FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 1.98 | 3.33 | 3.34 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 59% | 61% | San Diego Wave FC (+19.5%) |
| Londrina vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.29 | 3.05 | 3.20 | 37% | 28% | 35% | 43% | 49% | Botafogo-SP (+12.2%) |
| Delfín vs Macará | LigaPro | 18/07/2026 02:00 | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 24% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 18% | Delfín (+-7.9%) |
| Nashville SC vs Atlanta United | MLS | 18/07/2026 02:10 | 1.50 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 85% | 11% | 4% | 65% | 38% | Atlanta United (+139.8%) |
| Atlético San Luis vs Cruz Azul | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 3.85 | 3.62 | 1.87 | 25% | 20% | 55% | 73% | 70% | Atlético San Luis (+41.7%) |
| Club León vs Atlas FC | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 03:00 | 2.00 | 3.44 | 3.50 | 57% | 22% | 21% | 58% | 57% | Atlas FC (+25.8%) |
| LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.87 | 3.63 | 2.28 | 33% | 24% | 43% | 59% | 61% | Nul (+32.0%) |
| LA Galaxy vs LAFC | MLS | 18/07/2026 04:25 | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.25 | 47% | 20% | 33% | 81% | 79% | Nul (+33.5%) |
| FC Juárez vs Club Puebla | Liga MX | 18/07/2026 05:00 | 1.65 | 3.89 | 4.84 | 72% | 14% | 14% | 85% | 73% | Club Puebla (+87.4%) |
| Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 07:00 | 7.38 | 5.72 | 1.27 | 15% | 19% | 66% | 59% | 53% | Gold Coast United (+202.1%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:00 | 1.71 | 4.19 | 3.57 | 40% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 53% | Nul (+59.0%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:30 | 2.14 | 3.94 | 2.65 | 77% | 15% | 8% | 60% | 44% | Nul (+48.4%) |
| Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane City | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 09:00 | 3.12 | 4.01 | 1.89 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+51.1%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.32 | 5.40 | 6.49 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 40% | 41% | Magic United TFA (+161.7%) |
| Jeju SK vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.91 | 3.01 | 2.49 | 24% | 39% | 38% | 16% | 24% | Nul (+3.4%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.39 | 3.32 | 2.79 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+18.0%) |
| Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 1.84 | 3.43 | 4.17 | 64% | 26% | 10% | 29% | 26% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC (+57.1%) |
| Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 3.10 | 3.13 | 2.30 | 28% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 40% | Nul (+8.9%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.74 | 3.45 | 2.37 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 1.42 | 4.66 | 6.35 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 74% | 70% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+156.1%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 2.22 | 3.67 | 2.82 | 34% | 20% | 46% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+34.5%) |
| Vietnam vs Myanmar | Int. Friendly Games | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.01 | 10.00 | 17.00 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 96% | 61% | Myanmar (+633.8%) |
| HamKam vs Tromsø IL | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.37 | 3.18 | 2.18 | 31% | 23% | 45% | 61% | 62% | HamKam (+19.8%) |
| HJK vs VPS | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.89 | 3.81 | 3.44 | 33% | 20% | 47% | 80% | 77% | Nul (+40.5%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.18 | 3.44 | 3.01 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+23.7%) |
| Hamarkameratene vs Tromso | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.45 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 60% | 54% | Hamarkameratene (+23.5%) |
| AIK vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.58 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 27% | 26% | 47% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+21.7%) |
| IK Start vs Rosenborg BK | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 3.02 | 3.49 | 2.21 | 31% | 25% | 45% | 55% | 58% | Nul (+25.6%) |
| Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 3.06 | 3.56 | 2.17 | 24% | 26% | 49% | 43% | 47% | Nul (+28.7%) |
| Lillestrøm SK vs KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.69 | 3.91 | 4.50 | 69% | 20% | 11% | 47% | 39% | KFUM Oslo (+71.5%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).