Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 18/07/2026 05:54. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast United vs Queensland Lions FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 07:00 | 7.19 | 5.71 | 1.28 | 15% | 19% | 66% | 59% | 53% | Gold Coast United (+193.2%) |
| Gold Coast Knights vs Wynnum Wolves FC | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:00 | 1.73 | 4.16 | 3.54 | 40% | 26% | 34% | 49% | 53% | Nul (+57.5%) |
| Moreton City Excelsior FC vs Peninsula Power | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 08:30 | 2.14 | 3.99 | 2.59 | 77% | 15% | 8% | 60% | 44% | Nul (+51.1%) |
| Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane City | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 09:00 | 3.11 | 4.06 | 1.87 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 59% | 58% | Nul (+53.7%) |
| Eastern Suburbs vs Magic United TFA | NPL Queensland | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.32 | 5.42 | 6.43 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 40% | 41% | Magic United TFA (+158.9%) |
| Chrobry Głogów vs Ślęza Wrocław | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 10:00 | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.15 | 54% | 24% | 23% | 52% | 53% | Ślęza Wrocław (+57.6%) |
| AS Monaco vs AS Saint Priest | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 10:30 | 1.01 | 23.50 | 42.50 | 7% | 13% | 80% | 66% | 47% | AS Saint Priest (+1732.7%) |
| FC Andorra vs Stevenage | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 11:00 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 19% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 20% | Nul (+20.3%) |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 11:00 | 1.53 | 4.05 | 5.00 | 28% | 23% | 49% | 62% | 62% | Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring (+95.8%) |
| Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 12:00 | 2.00 | 3.43 | 3.33 | 44% | 22% | 34% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+23.2%) |
| Grimsby Town vs Zoria Luhansk | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 12:00 | 4.63 | 3.88 | 1.57 | 23% | 34% | 43% | 22% | 29% | Grimsby Town (+79.3%) |
| Jeju SK vs Pohang Steelers | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.47 | 24% | 39% | 38% | 16% | 24% | Nul (+2.9%) |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 2.42 | 3.26 | 2.81 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+15.1%) |
| Gangwon FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 1.83 | 3.47 | 4.17 | 64% | 26% | 10% | 29% | 26% | Gimcheon Sangmu FC (+57.1%) |
| Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | K-League 1 | 18/07/2026 12:30 | 3.13 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 28% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 40% | Incheon United (+8.9%) |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Zhejiang | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:00 | 2.74 | 3.45 | 2.38 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Crystal Palace vs Swindon Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 13:30 | 1.24 | 5.75 | 7.55 | 25% | 28% | 47% | 39% | 44% | Swindon Town (+210.6%) |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 1.44 | 4.58 | 5.99 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 74% | 70% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (+139.8%) |
| Dalian Yingbo FC vs Shandong Taishan | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 13:35 | 2.23 | 3.70 | 2.77 | 34% | 20% | 46% | 80% | 78% | Nul (+36.1%) |
| Burton Albion vs Leicester City | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.85 | 31% | 27% | 41% | 44% | 49% | Nul (+42.7%) |
| FC Groningen vs AEK Athens | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 4.95 | 4.45 | 1.55 | 17% | 25% | 58% | 41% | 41% | FC Groningen (+91.4%) |
| Barnet vs Luton Town | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.03 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 55% | 22% | 23% | 58% | 57% | Nul (+32.2%) |
| Wigan Athletic vs Port Vale | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.81 | 3.53 | 3.73 | 47% | 33% | 19% | 22% | 28% | Port Vale (+37.4%) |
| Vietnam vs Myanmar | Int. Friendly Games | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.24 | 5.81 | 9.95 | 96% | 3% | 1% | 96% | 61% | Myanmar (+319.3%) |
| HamKam vs Tromsø IL | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.53 | 3.15 | 2.14 | 31% | 23% | 45% | 61% | 62% | HamKam (+27.2%) |
| HJK vs VPS | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 1.94 | 3.73 | 3.41 | 33% | 20% | 47% | 80% | 77% | Nul (+36.6%) |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Peng City | Chinese Super League | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.01 | 39% | 22% | 40% | 71% | 71% | Nul (+24.1%) |
| Hamarkameratene vs Tromso | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 14:00 | 3.65 | 3.20 | 2.15 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 60% | 54% | Hamarkameratene (+32.1%) |
| AIK vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 2.59 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 27% | 26% | 47% | 48% | 52% | Nul (+21.6%) |
| Dundee FC vs Everton | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 6.00 | 4.38 | 1.43 | 41% | 26% | 34% | 50% | 54% | Dundee FC (+141.5%) |
| Northampton Town vs Coventry City | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:00 | 6.02 | 4.30 | 1.41 | 21% | 18% | 62% | 80% | 74% | Northampton Town (+143.3%) |
| Sportfreunde Baumberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 32.50 | 18.25 | 1.01 | 32% | 28% | 41% | 43% | 48% | Sportfreunde Baumberg (+1302.2%) |
| LASK vs Fortuna Düsseldorf | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 15:30 | 1.69 | 3.95 | 3.88 | 61% | 18% | 22% | 80% | 75% | Nul (+47.1%) |
| Notts County vs Nottingham Forest | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 4.36 | 3.92 | 1.60 | 64% | 20% | 16% | 58% | 53% | Notts County (+66.5%) |
| Celtic vs Middlesbrough | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.38 | 51% | 24% | 24% | 52% | 53% | Nul (+31.6%) |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Waldhof Mannheim | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.38 | 4.80 | 5.25 | 31% | 28% | 41% | 42% | 48% | SV Waldhof Mannheim (+106.7%) |
| IK Start vs Rosenborg BK | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 3.05 | 3.49 | 2.20 | 31% | 25% | 45% | 55% | 58% | Nul (+25.5%) |
| SJK vs Kuopion Palloseura | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 2.95 | 3.62 | 2.18 | 23% | 17% | 60% | 88% | 82% | Nul (+31.9%) |
| AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 2.17 | 3.44 | 3.06 | 16% | 17% | 67% | 76% | 68% | Nul (+23.5%) |
| Lillestrøm SK vs KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.65 | 3.96 | 4.86 | 69% | 20% | 11% | 47% | 39% | KFUM Oslo (+87.9%) |
| Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 3.07 | 3.56 | 2.17 | 24% | 26% | 49% | 43% | 47% | Nul (+28.7%) |
| Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 18/07/2026 16:00 | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.80 | 43% | 25% | 31% | 51% | 55% | KFUM Oslo (+84.3%) |
| SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs Borussia Dortmund | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 12.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 | 30% | 21% | 49% | 73% | 72% | SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen (+402.6%) |
| Manchester United vs Wrexham | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 1.52 | 4.33 | 4.97 | 57% | 21% | 22% | 66% | 63% | Wrexham (+93.4%) |
| Lorient vs Nantes | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 1.74 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 62% | 22% | 17% | 52% | 50% | Nantes (+55.4%) |
| Stade Lavallois vs Caen | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 17:00 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 71% | 16% | 13% | 74% | 63% | Nul (+13.5%) |
| SC Oțelul Galați vs CFR 1907 Cluj | Superliga | 18/07/2026 17:30 | 3.10 | 3.11 | 2.29 | 24% | 36% | 41% | 20% | 27% | Nul (+8.1%) |
| Amiens SC vs Quevilly - Rouen Métropole | Club Friendlies | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.48 | 58% | 16% | 26% | 93% | 88% | Nul (+28.0%) |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC vs Seattle Reign FC | NWSL | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 1.48 | 3.92 | 5.70 | 44% | 24% | 32% | 57% | 59% | Seattle Reign FC (+129.3%) |
| FK Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali | Parva Liga | 18/07/2026 18:00 | 3.54 | 3.09 | 2.08 | 61% | 18% | 20% | 77% | 71% | FK Septemvri Sofia (+28.5%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).