Pronostics football & tennis — Top 37 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 37 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 30/06/2026 15:04. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 37)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 17:00 | 3.48 | 3.37 | 2.14 | 62% | 16% | 21% | 87% | 81% | Côte d'Ivoire (+24.0%) |
| Ivory Coast vs Norway | FIFA World Cup | 30/06/2026 17:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| France vs Sweden | World Cup 2026 | 30/06/2026 21:00 | 1.29 | 5.73 | 9.90 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Sweden (+315.3%) |
| Botafogo-SP vs CRB | Serie B | 30/06/2026 23:00 | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.50 | 21% | 27% | 51% | 38% | 41% | CRB (+25.5%) |
| Mexico vs Ecuador | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 01:00 | 2.23 | 2.91 | 3.83 | 57% | 24% | 19% | 47% | 47% | Ecuador (+41.0%) |
| HJK vs Ilves | Suomen Cup | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.67 | 4.01 | 4.12 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 78% | 70% | Ilves (+54.4%) |
| England vs DR Congo | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 16:00 | 1.27 | 5.37 | 12.37 | 56% | 24% | 20% | 47% | 47% | DR Congo (+430.9%) |
| Belgium vs Senegal | World Cup 2026 | 01/07/2026 20:00 | 2.20 | 3.22 | 3.45 | 79% | 11% | 10% | 95% | 83% | Senegal (+22.9%) |
| Liga de Quito vs Orense | LigaPro | 01/07/2026 22:00 | 1.47 | 3.95 | 6.00 | 45% | 30% | 26% | 33% | 40% | Orense (+143.2%) |
| USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 00:00 | 1.39 | 4.78 | 8.27 | 89% | 6% | 5% | 98% | 82% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+243.4%) |
| United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | FIFA World Cup | 02/07/2026 00:00 | — | — | — | 58% | 17% | 25% | 91% | 86% | — |
| Spain vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 19:00 | 1.33 | 5.10 | 9.45 | 60% | 16% | 24% | 96% | 91% | Austria (+297.1%) |
| Portugal vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.85 | 89% | 8% | 3% | 69% | 35% | Croatia (+88.0%) |
| Cuiabá vs América Mineiro | Serie B | 02/07/2026 23:00 | 1.83 | 3.18 | 4.64 | 59% | 32% | 9% | 17% | 16% | América Mineiro (+79.8%) |
| Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 00:00 | 2.66 | 3.36 | 2.35 | 31% | 29% | 40% | 39% | 45% | Nul (+20.8%) |
| Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta | Serie B | 03/07/2026 00:00 | 1.31 | 4.78 | 9.16 | 74% | 18% | 8% | 46% | 34% | Ponte Preta (+286.8%) |
| Switzerland vs Algeria | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 03:00 | 2.05 | 3.24 | 3.86 | 91% | 6% | 4% | 96% | 73% | Algeria (+42.1%) |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Henan FC | Chinese Super League | 03/07/2026 12:00 | 2.40 | 3.51 | 2.65 | 51% | 23% | 26% | 58% | 58% | Nul (+27.1%) |
| IK Sirius vs Mjällby AIF | Allsvenskan | 03/07/2026 17:00 | 1.70 | 3.76 | 4.50 | 69% | 18% | 13% | 62% | 53% | Mjällby AIF (+72.1%) |
| Australia vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 18:00 | 3.30 | 2.88 | 2.46 | 22% | 37% | 41% | 18% | 25% | Australia (+16.2%) |
| Derry City vs Waterford | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 45% | 47% | Waterford (+163.6%) |
| Drogheda United vs Bohemians | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.69 | 48% | 20% | 32% | 80% | 77% | Drogheda United (+77.2%) |
| Shelbourne vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 40% | 27% | 34% | 47% | 52% | Nul (+35.9%) |
| Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | 51% | 22% | 27% | 64% | 63% | Sligo Rovers (+106.6%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Galway United FC | Premier Division | 03/07/2026 18:45 | 1.40 | 4.70 | 6.50 | 31% | 35% | 35% | 23% | 32% | Galway United FC (+163.2%) |
| Argentina vs Cabo Verde | World Cup 2026 | 03/07/2026 22:00 | 1.17 | 7.24 | 16.97 | 85% | 12% | 2% | 46% | 17% | Cabo Verde (+632.8%) |
| Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 03/07/2026 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loudoun United FC vs Sporting JAX | USL Championship | 03/07/2026 23:00 | 1.59 | 4.10 | 4.40 | 3% | 7% | 90% | 79% | 45% | Sporting JAX (+67.7%) |
| Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 3.04 | 3.32 | 2.24 | 36% | 21% | 43% | 78% | 76% | Nul (+17.8%) |
| Halmstads BK vs Västerås SK | Allsvenskan | 04/07/2026 13:00 | 2.71 | 3.33 | 2.48 | 29% | 21% | 50% | 72% | 71% | Nul (+18.3%) |
| IFK Göteborg vs AIK | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.94 | 38% | 22% | 40% | 67% | 68% | Nul (+26.3%) |
| Kalmar FF vs Örgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 12:00 | 1.51 | 4.39 | 5.53 | 65% | 19% | 15% | 62% | 56% | Örgryte IS (+118.5%) |
| IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby IF | Allsvenskan | 05/07/2026 14:30 | 3.61 | 3.59 | 1.91 | 34% | 24% | 42% | 58% | 61% | IF Elfsborg (+30.8%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgårdens IF | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.45 | 3.62 | 2.55 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+32.3%) |
| IF Brommapojkarna vs GAIS | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 3.22 | 3.38 | 2.12 | 27% | 24% | 49% | 56% | 58% | Nul (+20.5%) |
| BK Häcken vs Djurgården | Allsvenskan | 06/07/2026 17:00 | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.55 | 48% | 19% | 33% | 83% | 80% | Nul (+36.2%) |
| VPS vs Inter Turku | Suomen Cup | 30/06/2026 15:00 | 3.19 | 3.16 | 2.15 | 35% | 33% | 33% | 27% | 36% | VPS (+12.3%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).