Pronostics football & tennis — Top 43 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 43 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 17/06/2026 20:48. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 43)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana vs Panama | World Cup 2026 | 17/06/2026 23:00 | 2.00 | 3.56 | 3.65 | 20% | 38% | 42% | 15% | 22% | Panama (+31.8%) |
| Uzbekistan vs Colombia | World Cup 2026 | 18/06/2026 02:00 | 7.95 | 4.51 | 1.41 | 41% | 30% | 30% | 36% | 42% | Uzbekistan (+229.9%) |
| Czechia vs South Africa | World Cup 2026 | 18/06/2026 16:00 | 1.99 | 3.26 | 3.96 | 42% | 27% | 31% | 45% | 50% | South Africa (+47.0%) |
| Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | World Cup 2026 | 18/06/2026 19:00 | 1.58 | 3.96 | 5.60 | 32% | 27% | 41% | 44% | 49% | Bosnia & Herzegovina (+122.5%) |
| Canada vs Qatar | World Cup 2026 | 18/06/2026 22:00 | 1.32 | 4.82 | 9.75 | 44% | 33% | 24% | 26% | 33% | Qatar (+313.1%) |
| Universidad de Chile vs O'Higgins | Campeonato Nacional | 19/06/2026 00:00 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 55% | 28% | 17% | 31% | 34% | O'Higgins (+54.3%) |
| Mexico vs South Korea | World Cup 2026 | 19/06/2026 01:00 | 1.82 | 3.43 | 4.41 | 41% | 27% | 32% | 45% | 50% | South Korea (+68.1%) |
| Drogheda United vs Shelbourne | Premier Division | 19/06/2026 18:45 | 3.70 | 3.45 | 1.95 | 27% | 23% | 50% | 60% | 60% | Drogheda United (+35.0%) |
| Galway United FC vs Derry City | Premier Division | 19/06/2026 18:45 | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 47% | 26% | 27% | 46% | 50% | Nul (+12.1%) |
| St Patrick's Athletic vs Sligo Rovers | Premier Division | 19/06/2026 18:45 | 1.26 | 5.50 | 10.00 | 49% | 30% | 22% | 31% | 37% | Sligo Rovers (+322.6%) |
| Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 19/06/2026 18:45 | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 35% | 25% | 40% | 56% | 59% | Waterford (+106.1%) |
| USA vs Australia | World Cup 2026 | 19/06/2026 19:00 | 1.74 | 3.67 | 4.51 | 86% | 9% | 5% | 82% | 57% | Australia (+72.4%) |
| United States vs Australia | FIFA World Cup | 19/06/2026 19:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bohemians vs Dundalk | Premier Division | 19/06/2026 19:00 | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 22% | 18% | 60% | 77% | 72% | Nul (+39.8%) |
| Scotland vs Morocco | World Cup 2026 | 19/06/2026 22:00 | 3.88 | 3.17 | 2.02 | 16% | 21% | 63% | 55% | 51% | Scotland (+43.6%) |
| Brazil vs Haiti | World Cup 2026 | 20/06/2026 00:30 | 1.06 | 12.82 | 38.36 | 31% | 34% | 35% | 25% | 33% | Haiti (+1571.8%) |
| Türkiye vs Paraguay | World Cup 2026 | 20/06/2026 03:00 | 2.22 | 3.14 | 3.35 | 0% | 23% | 77% | 18% | 0% | Paraguay (+18.8%) |
| Turkey vs Paraguay | FIFA World Cup | 20/06/2026 03:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Netherlands vs Sweden | World Cup 2026 | 20/06/2026 17:00 | 1.63 | 3.91 | 5.07 | 59% | 20% | 21% | 66% | 63% | Sweden (+97.9%) |
| Germany vs Côte d'Ivoire | World Cup 2026 | 20/06/2026 20:00 | 1.54 | 4.18 | 5.60 | 77% | 13% | 10% | 77% | 62% | Côte d'Ivoire (+122.1%) |
| Germany vs Ivory Coast | FIFA World Cup | 20/06/2026 20:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sporting JAX vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 20/06/2026 23:00 | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.46 | 29% | 28% | 43% | 42% | 48% | Sporting JAX (+106.4%) |
| Ecuador vs Curaçao | World Cup 2026 | 21/06/2026 00:00 | 1.27 | 5.44 | 10.87 | 0% | 25% | 75% | 17% | 0% | Curaçao (+362.0%) |
| Tunisia vs Japan | World Cup 2026 | 21/06/2026 04:00 | 4.63 | 3.40 | 1.79 | 5% | 9% | 85% | 81% | 56% | Tunisia (+78.6%) |
| Spain vs Saudi Arabia | World Cup 2026 | 21/06/2026 16:00 | 1.11 | 8.92 | 23.01 | 68% | 22% | 10% | 41% | 34% | Saudi Arabia (+900.1%) |
| Belgium vs Iran | World Cup 2026 | 21/06/2026 19:00 | 1.40 | 4.47 | 7.53 | 59% | 21% | 20% | 63% | 60% | Iran (+211.4%) |
| CRB vs Fortaleza | Serie B | 21/06/2026 19:00 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.05 | 77% | 18% | 5% | 39% | 23% | Nul (+14.6%) |
| Uruguay vs Cabo Verde | World Cup 2026 | 21/06/2026 22:00 | 1.44 | 4.36 | 6.99 | 40% | 29% | 31% | 38% | 45% | Cabo Verde (+186.3%) |
| Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands | FIFA World Cup | 21/06/2026 22:00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New Zealand vs Egypt | World Cup 2026 | 22/06/2026 01:00 | 4.95 | 3.64 | 1.69 | 27% | 26% | 46% | 46% | 50% | New Zealand (+93.0%) |
| Argentina vs Austria | World Cup 2026 | 22/06/2026 17:00 | 1.65 | 3.67 | 5.21 | 45% | 29% | 26% | 36% | 42% | Austria (+105.3%) |
| France vs Iraq | World Cup 2026 | 22/06/2026 21:00 | 1.10 | 9.04 | 25.59 | 96% | 4% | 0% | 62% | 0% | Iraq (+1016.5%) |
| Norway vs Senegal | World Cup 2026 | 23/06/2026 00:00 | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 50% | 23% | 27% | 59% | 60% | Nul (+20.9%) |
| Jordan vs Algeria | World Cup 2026 | 23/06/2026 03:00 | 5.19 | 3.75 | 1.64 | 1% | 3% | 96% | 92% | 50% | Jordan (+104.1%) |
| Portugal vs Uzbekistan | World Cup 2026 | 23/06/2026 17:00 | 1.25 | 5.82 | 10.96 | 36% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 38% | Uzbekistan (+364.6%) |
| England vs Ghana | World Cup 2026 | 23/06/2026 20:00 | 1.31 | 5.08 | 9.26 | 76% | 17% | 7% | 47% | 32% | Ghana (+289.3%) |
| Panama vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 23/06/2026 23:00 | 6.76 | 3.92 | 1.49 | 33% | 31% | 37% | 32% | 40% | Panama (+177.5%) |
| Colombia vs DR Congo | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 02:00 | 1.47 | 4.03 | 7.18 | 22% | 30% | 48% | 30% | 36% | DR Congo (+196.4%) |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 19:00 | 1.59 | 3.78 | 5.63 | 45% | 32% | 23% | 26% | 33% | Qatar (+124.7%) |
| Switzerland vs Canada | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 19:00 | 2.08 | 3.24 | 3.43 | 27% | 35% | 38% | 23% | 31% | Canada (+22.9%) |
| Morocco vs Haiti | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 22:00 | 1.23 | 5.98 | 12.20 | 30% | 34% | 36% | 25% | 33% | Haiti (+421.0%) |
| Scotland vs Brazil | World Cup 2026 | 24/06/2026 22:00 | 7.85 | 4.60 | 1.38 | 20% | 22% | 58% | 55% | 54% | Scotland (+225.7%) |
| England vs Croatia | World Cup 2026 | 17/06/2026 20:00 | 1.74 | 3.73 | 4.67 | 39% | 25% | 36% | 53% | 56% | Croatia (+79.2%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).