Pronostics football & tennis — Top 50 matchs analysés
Analyse mathématique de 50 matchs : cotes 1N2, probabilités Poisson (BTTS, Over 2.5), edge no-vig détecté et Power Score. Mise à jour 05/06/2026 20:04. PariScore agrège les cotes de 20+ bookmakers, applique le modèle de Poisson bivarié pour calculer les probabilités réelles, et détecte les value bets (edge no-vig > 5%). Méthodologie complète sur notre page À propos.
Tableau des matchs (top 50)
| Match | Compétition | Coup d'envoi | Cote 1 | Cote N | Cote 2 | P(1) | P(N) | P(2) | O 2,5 | BTTS | Value bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay vs Nicaragua | Int. Friendly Games | 05/06/2026 22:15 | 1.08 | 7.65 | 15.63 | 0% | 63% | 37% | 1% | 0% | Nicaragua (+576.5%) |
| Puerto Rico vs Saudi Arabia | Int. Friendly Games | 05/06/2026 23:00 | 14.50 | 6.86 | 1.10 | 29% | 32% | 39% | 28% | 35% | Puerto Rico (+528.1%) |
| Operário-PR vs Juventude | Serie B | 05/06/2026 23:00 | 2.24 | 2.75 | 3.67 | 25% | 41% | 34% | 12% | 20% | Juventude (+34.8%) |
| Canada vs Ireland | Int. Friendly Games | 05/06/2026 23:30 | 1.49 | 4.05 | 6.52 | 0% | 27% | 73% | 14% | 0% | Ireland (+165.6%) |
| FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 06/06/2026 05:00 | 1.85 | 3.56 | 3.89 | 22% | 27% | 50% | 39% | 42% | Cerezo Osaka (+43.9%) |
| JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 06/06/2026 05:00 | 2.85 | 2.95 | 2.57 | 39% | 29% | 32% | 38% | 44% | Nul (+0.6%) |
| Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 06/06/2026 05:00 | 2.50 | 3.07 | 2.82 | 61% | 26% | 12% | 31% | 29% | Nul (+6.3%) |
| Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki | J2 League | 06/06/2026 06:00 | 2.39 | 3.15 | 2.94 | 32% | 25% | 43% | 53% | 56% | Nul (+9.9%) |
| Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus | J1 League | 06/06/2026 06:00 | 2.12 | 3.22 | 3.40 | 48% | 24% | 27% | 53% | 56% | Nagoya Grampus (+21.4%) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama | J1 League | 06/06/2026 07:00 | 1.94 | 3.26 | 3.90 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 43% | 46% | Fagiano Okayama (+44.9%) |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 06/06/2026 07:00 | 3.04 | 2.98 | 2.43 | 29% | 27% | 44% | 43% | 48% | Tokyo Verdy (+4.7%) |
| Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse | J1 League | 06/06/2026 08:00 | 2.33 | 3.16 | 3.02 | 45% | 26% | 28% | 46% | 50% | Nul (+10.3%) |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga FC | J1 League | 06/06/2026 09:00 | 1.96 | 3.40 | 3.68 | 51% | 27% | 22% | 40% | 44% | Kyoto Sanga FC (+34.3%) |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 06/06/2026 10:00 | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.03 | 26% | 25% | 50% | 52% | 54% | Nul (+28.3%) |
| Belgium vs Tunisia | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 13:00 | 1.28 | 5.22 | 11.04 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Tunisia (+370.9%) |
| Criciúma vs Londrina | Serie B | 06/06/2026 14:00 | 1.65 | 3.45 | 5.29 | 63% | 23% | 15% | 45% | 42% | Londrina (+110.3%) |
| Armenia vs Kazakhstan | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 14:00 | 1.98 | 3.44 | 3.64 | 10% | 18% | 71% | 53% | 43% | Kazakhstan (+32.1%) |
| Gibraltar vs Cayman Islands | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 17:00 | 1.24 | 5.61 | 8.48 | 30% | 70% | 0% | 1% | 0% | Cayman Islands (+253.5%) |
| Portugal vs Chile | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 17:45 | 1.22 | 6.11 | 11.68 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Chile (+397.1%) |
| Romania vs Wales | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 17:45 | 2.82 | 3.36 | 2.29 | 40% | 19% | 39% | 84% | 81% | Nul (+20.3%) |
| Albania vs Luxembourg | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 18:00 | 1.56 | 3.69 | 5.16 | 69% | 31% | 0% | 11% | 0% | Luxembourg (+104.5%) |
| USA vs Germany | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 18:30 | 4.32 | 3.96 | 1.70 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | USA (+63.1%) |
| Panama vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 19:00 | 2.92 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 86% | 14% | 0% | 32% | 0% | Nul (+13.5%) |
| Bolivia vs Scotland | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 20:00 | 6.31 | 4.69 | 1.43 | 56% | 44% | 0% | 5% | 0% | Bolivia (+153.9%) |
| England vs New Zealand | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 20:00 | 1.17 | 7.36 | 14.48 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | New Zealand (+519.7%) |
| Venezuela vs Türkiye | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 22:00 | 5.20 | 3.75 | 1.55 | 76% | 24% | 0% | 17% | 0% | Venezuela (+106.2%) |
| Brazil vs Egypt | Int. Friendly Games | 06/06/2026 22:00 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.39 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Egypt (+249.5%) |
| Argentina vs Honduras | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 00:00 | 1.18 | 6.59 | 16.25 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Honduras (+603.9%) |
| Liechtenstein vs Cyprus | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 13:00 | 8.15 | 4.02 | 1.39 | 0% | 2% | 87% | 65% | 0% | Liechtenstein (+243.4%) |
| Denmark vs Ukraine | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 16:30 | 1.70 | 3.46 | 5.23 | 72% | 11% | 10% | 80% | 66% | Ukraine (+106.6%) |
| Kosovo vs Andorra | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 18:00 | 1.16 | 6.40 | 15.50 | 77% | 20% | 3% | 29% | 13% | Andorra (+572.6%) |
| Croatia vs Slovenia | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 18:45 | 1.35 | 4.56 | 9.39 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 0% | 0% | Slovenia (+297.5%) |
| Morocco vs Norway | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 19:00 | 3.08 | 3.26 | 2.28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | Nul (+14.7%) |
| Greece vs Italy | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 19:00 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.33 | 18% | 14% | 61% | 84% | 77% | Nul (+21.0%) |
| Ecuador vs Guatemala | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 20:00 | 1.21 | 6.20 | 10.73 | 0% | 26% | 74% | 16% | 0% | Guatemala (+353.9%) |
| Colombia vs Jordan | Int. Friendly Games | 07/06/2026 23:00 | 1.13 | 6.59 | 14.63 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Jordan (+533.7%) |
| Netherlands vs Uzbekistan | Int. Friendly Games | 08/06/2026 18:45 | 1.22 | 5.25 | 11.13 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Uzbekistan (+377.7%) |
| France vs Northern Ireland | Int. Friendly Games | 08/06/2026 19:10 | 1.08 | 8.05 | 15.50 | 0% | 41% | 59% | 6% | 0% | Northern Ireland (+568.5%) |
| Vila Nova FC vs Botafogo-SP | Serie B | 08/06/2026 23:00 | 2.01 | 2.98 | 4.04 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 31% | 35% | Botafogo-SP (+52.0%) |
| América Mineiro vs Atlético Goianiense | Serie B | 08/06/2026 23:00 | 2.42 | 2.98 | 3.00 | 11% | 27% | 61% | 28% | 26% | Atlético Goianiense (+3.0%) |
| Armenia vs Moldova | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 16:00 | 1.52 | 3.71 | 5.71 | 60% | 24% | 15% | 41% | 40% | Moldova (+130.3%) |
| Belarus vs Burkina Faso | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 16:30 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.92 | 1% | 3% | 70% | 67% | 36% | Belarus (+29.2%) |
| Hungary vs Kazakhstan | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 17:00 | 1.21 | 5.50 | 10.55 | 67% | 17% | 15% | 69% | 61% | Kazakhstan (+349.8%) |
| Russia vs Trinidad and Tobago | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 17:00 | 1.05 | 15.25 | 44.00 | 40% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 35% | Trinidad and Tobago (+1812.9%) |
| San Marino vs Azerbaijan | Int. Friendly Games | 09/06/2026 18:00 | 13.50 | 5.80 | 1.17 | 11% | 31% | 57% | 21% | 21% | San Marino (+485.0%) |
| Náutico vs Fortaleza | Serie B | 09/06/2026 22:00 | 2.28 | 3.06 | 3.17 | 42% | 29% | 28% | 36% | 42% | Fortaleza (+10.9%) |
| Portugal vs Nigeria | Int. Friendly Games | 10/06/2026 19:45 | 1.21 | 5.26 | 10.98 | 0% | 16% | 83% | 27% | 0% | Nigeria (+371.2%) |
| England vs Costa Rica | Int. Friendly Games | 10/06/2026 20:00 | 1.19 | 6.72 | 14.75 | 0% | 13% | 86% | 33% | 0% | Costa Rica (+534.3%) |
| FC Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery | USL Championship | 10/06/2026 23:00 | 1.70 | 3.62 | 4.22 | 71% | 21% | 8% | 37% | 28% | Charleston Battery (+60.2%) |
| Ceará vs Avaí | Serie B | 10/06/2026 23:00 | 1.82 | 3.26 | 4.57 | 47% | 29% | 23% | 33% | 39% | Avaí (+76.3%) |
Comment lire ce tableau ?
Cote 1 / N / 2 : meilleure cote bookmaker pour victoire domicile, match nul, victoire extérieur. P(1) / P(N) / P(2) : probabilité réelle calculée par notre modèle de Poisson bivarié à partir des standings home/away et de l'expected goals (xG). O 2,5 : probabilité que le match contienne plus de 2,5 buts. BTTS (both teams to score) : probabilité que les deux équipes marquent. Value bet : marché présentant l'écart le plus favorable entre cote bookmaker et probabilité réelle (edge no-vig positif).